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eureca Franchise Player
Joined: 18 Jan 2004 Posts: 15798
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Posted: Wed Jul 16, 2014 11:40 am Post subject: The NBA submitted an official proposal to reform the NBA Draft Lottery |
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Quote: | The NBA submitted an official proposal to reform the lottery this week at competition committee meetings in Las Vegas, pushing aside the Wheel idea in favor of a revised weighting system that shifts each team’s odds of getting the top pick, per several sources who have seen and reviewed the league’s proposal.
The proposal, which dominated the lottery-reform discussion in league meetings this week, is essentially an attempt to squeeze the lottery odds at either extreme toward a more balanced system in which all 14 teams have a relatively similar chance at the no. 1 pick, per sources familiar with the proposal.
Under the current system, the team with the worst record has a 25 percent chance of snagging the no. 1 pick, perhaps the most valuable asset in the entire NBA. The team with the second-worst record has a 19.9 percent chance of winning the no. 1 pick, and the third-worst team enters the lottery with a 15.6 percent chance of moving up to the top slot. The odds decline from there, with the final five teams in the lottery — the teams with the five best records — each having a 1.1 percent or worse chance of moving up to no. 1.
The league’s proposal gives at least the four worst teams the same chance at winning the no. 1 pick: approximately an identical 11 percent shot for each club. The odds decline slowly from there, with the team in the next spot holding a 10 percent chance. The lottery team with the best record will have a 2 percent chance of leaping to the no. 1 pick, up from the the minuscule 0.5 percent chance it has under the current system. |
http://grantland.com/the-triangle/nba-lottery-reform-is-coming/ |
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jonnybravo Retired Number
Joined: 21 Sep 2007 Posts: 30621
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Posted: Wed Jul 16, 2014 12:01 pm Post subject: |
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Lol.
People forget that the odds were moved even further in favor of the worse teams getting higher picks after the 1993 draft. Back then, the narrative after Orlando getting back to back #1's despite having the lowest odds was that "it's not fair for them to win two in a row! It's not fair!"
Now, these same collection of dumb dicks are finally seeing what Jerry West has been railing against for years. Further enablng ineptitude just might not make for good basketball.
NBA ownership is in need of a culling. I'd start in Cleveland.
Last edited by jonnybravo on Wed Jul 16, 2014 3:53 pm; edited 1 time in total |
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numero-ocho Franchise Player
Joined: 27 Jul 2004 Posts: 18190 Location: Los Angeles, CA
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Posted: Wed Jul 16, 2014 3:14 pm Post subject: |
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Closing the barn door after the horse has already bolted. Now that the Cavs are fixed after winning the lottery 3 out of 4 years, now it's time fix the lottery. OK, whatever.
You're not going to fix tanking regardless of how you change the odds. If there are coveted players in an upcoming draft, teams are going to tank if they know they can't be competitive. _________________ "Suck it up. Don't be a baby. Do your job." - Kobe Bryant |
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TheSource666 Sixth Man
Joined: 20 May 2014 Posts: 91
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Posted: Wed Jul 16, 2014 4:16 pm Post subject: |
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numero-ocho wrote: | Closing the barn door after the horse has already bolted. Now that the Cavs are fixed after winning the lottery 3 out of 4 years, now it's time fix the lottery. OK, whatever.
You're not going to fix tanking regardless of how you change the odds. If there are coveted players in an upcoming draft, teams are going to tank if they know they can't be competitive. |
...were you on the Cleveland lottery conspiracy banwagon pre-draft?
What kind of stupid rationale is this? |
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dont_be_a_wuss Franchise Player
Joined: 29 Mar 2012 Posts: 21415
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Posted: Wed Jul 16, 2014 4:56 pm Post subject: |
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...So when they rig the winners it won't look like such a statistical anomaly. |
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Treble Clef Franchise Player
Joined: 20 Nov 2012 Posts: 23745
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Posted: Wed Jul 16, 2014 5:58 pm Post subject: |
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No matter how they do the draft, people are going to have their conspiracy theories about the NBA and their tanking accusations. I think the draft is just fine the way it is. |
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srm90 Franchise Player
Joined: 29 Dec 2007 Posts: 10662
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Posted: Wed Jul 16, 2014 7:00 pm Post subject: |
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This is the idea I had in mind for lottery reform. Equal opportunity for a set number of teams. There would still be incentive for teams to gun for that bottom tier, but there would be no incentive for those teams that are there already to out-tank each other for the top spot.
It makes a lot of sense. It's not a perfect reform, but a step in the right direction. Glad the league is finally considering doing something about this. _________________ |
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AY2043 Franchise Player
Joined: 26 Feb 2012 Posts: 10620
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Posted: Wed Jul 16, 2014 8:56 pm Post subject: |
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This could potentially benefit us next year. Sure would be nice to keep our pick |
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improper Starting Rotation
Joined: 07 Jan 2014 Posts: 146
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Posted: Fri Jul 25, 2014 7:09 am Post subject: |
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They should just give Cleveland the number one pick every year. It seems to be working so far. |
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lakersken80 Retired Number
Joined: 12 Aug 2009 Posts: 38751
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Posted: Fri Jul 25, 2014 1:15 pm Post subject: |
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improper wrote: | They should just give Cleveland the number one pick every year. It seems to be working so far. |
They gave them enough #1 picks to entice Lebron back to Cleveland so it worked. That was the goal all along. |
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lakers0505 Franchise Player
Joined: 23 Jun 2005 Posts: 10701
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Posted: Sat Jul 26, 2014 7:13 am Post subject: |
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jonnybravo wrote: | Lol.
People forget that the odds were moved even further in favor of the worse teams getting higher picks after the 1993 draft. Back then, the narrative after Orlando getting back to back #1's despite having the lowest odds was that "it's not fair for them to win two in a row! It's not fair!"
Now, these same collection of dumb dicks are finally seeing what Jerry West has been railing against for years. Further enablng ineptitude just might not make for good basketball.
NBA ownership is in need of a culling. I'd start in Cleveland. |
Thats the truth.
Seems to be greater ineptitude in the NBA owners versus the other major sports owners.
This has been my view for a while, I haven't exactly researched it in depth, but its hard to argue how bad some of these organizations are. |
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