Can this team as currently assembled win 41 games?
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lakerican
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PostPosted: Fri Jul 29, 2016 6:05 am    Post subject:

i had made an analysis of win & losses and tabulate the data.

[img]https://drive.google.com/open?id=0BwpLeDsznU0aUU1HdjFUbDFvbm8[/img]

If you notice, in the Western Conference all 4 games with 5 teams are losses.
These teams are : Warriors, Clippers, Spurs, OKC & Portland
Those are 20 losses. I think we can steal 4 games of those 20.

If you notice, in the Eastern Conference all 2 games with 5 teams are losses.
These teams are : Cavs, Pacers, Raptors, Celtics & Bulls
Those are 10 losses. I think we can steal 2 games of those 10.`

That will take us to 35 wins. I think this is a fair assessment.
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nash
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PostPosted: Fri Jul 29, 2016 8:10 am    Post subject:

lakerican wrote:
i had made an analysis of win & losses and tabulate the data.

[img]https://drive.google.com/open?id=0BwpLeDsznU0aUU1HdjFUbDFvbm8[/img]

If you notice, in the Western Conference all 4 games with 5 teams are losses.
These teams are : Warriors, Clippers, Spurs, OKC & Portland
Those are 20 losses. I think we can steal 4 games of those 20.

If you notice, in the Eastern Conference all 2 games with 5 teams are losses.
These teams are : Cavs, Pacers, Raptors, Celtics & Bulls
Those are 10 losses. I think we can steal 2 games of those 10.`

That will take us to 35 wins. I think this is a fair assessment.


Nice job.

I believe we can realistically think about stealing one from Chicago.

My memory is failing me. Didn't we beat GS once last season?
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lakerican
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PostPosted: Fri Jul 29, 2016 9:16 am    Post subject:

nash wrote:
lakerican wrote:
i had made an analysis of win & losses and tabulate the data.

[img]https://drive.google.com/open?id=0BwpLeDsznU0aUU1HdjFUbDFvbm8[/img]

If you notice, in the Western Conference all 4 games with 5 teams are losses.
These teams are : Warriors, Clippers, Spurs, OKC & Portland
Those are 20 losses. I think we can steal 4 games of those 20.

If you notice, in the Eastern Conference all 2 games with 5 teams are losses.
These teams are : Cavs, Pacers, Raptors, Celtics & Bulls
Those are 10 losses. I think we can steal 2 games of those 10.`

That will take us to 35 wins. I think this is a fair assessment.


Nice job.

I believe we can realistically think about stealing one from Chicago.

My memory is failing me. Didn't we beat GS once last season?


Yep, we did. BTW also deep in my heart I think those 2 games I gave the Celtics are going to be wins for us, just if you sum up the rivalry pump.
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PostPosted: Fri Jul 29, 2016 9:38 am    Post subject:

If we win 40 games with the roster mostly as is, Luke should be COY.
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tox
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PostPosted: Fri Jul 29, 2016 10:45 am    Post subject:

lakerican wrote:
i had made an analysis of win & losses and tabulate the data.

[img]https://drive.google.com/open?id=0BwpLeDsznU0aUU1HdjFUbDFvbm8[/img]

If you notice, in the Western Conference all 4 games with 5 teams are losses.
These teams are : Warriors, Clippers, Spurs, OKC & Portland
Those are 20 losses. I think we can steal 4 games of those 20.

If you notice, in the Eastern Conference all 2 games with 5 teams are losses.
These teams are : Cavs, Pacers, Raptors, Celtics & Bulls
Those are 10 losses. I think we can steal 2 games of those 10.`

That will take us to 35 wins. I think this is a fair assessment.

Did you run a simulation or what? Cool stuff.
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LakerFan1977
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PostPosted: Sat Jul 30, 2016 8:18 pm    Post subject:

The tank is dead, and we will have a new team culture, there shouldn't be any worries about how many games we win because everyone knows the only expectation is to improve on our worst season in franchise history and that's the easy part, how much we improve will be the exciting part, I cant wait to see how good we can be, I'm sure we are going to have some big wins, were gonna loose a lot of games just because of the lack of experience, but to be able to watch these young guys grow up together and learn how to win together is going to be really fun to watch!
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panamaniac
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PostPosted: Sat Jul 30, 2016 8:22 pm    Post subject:

lakerican wrote:
i had made an analysis of win & losses and tabulate the data.

[img]https://drive.google.com/open?id=0BwpLeDsznU0aUU1HdjFUbDFvbm8[/img]

If you notice, in the Western Conference all 4 games with 5 teams are losses.
These teams are : Warriors, Clippers, Spurs, OKC & Portland
Those are 20 losses. I think we can steal 4 games of those 20.

If you notice, in the Eastern Conference all 2 games with 5 teams are losses.
These teams are : Cavs, Pacers, Raptors, Celtics & Bulls
Those are 10 losses. I think we can steal 2 games of those 10.`

That will take us to 35 wins. I think this is a fair assessment.


Nicely done, I would say 28-35 Ws is likely the threshold for this team.
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LakerFan1977
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PostPosted: Tue Aug 02, 2016 6:50 pm    Post subject:

The team is going to win at least 30, but with some lucky wins and overall solid wins based on growth later in the season as a team there should be a good chance we can win around 39-41
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kikanga
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PostPosted: Tue Aug 02, 2016 7:00 pm    Post subject:

lakerican wrote:
i had made an analysis of win & losses and tabulate the data.

[img]https://drive.google.com/open?id=0BwpLeDsznU0aUU1HdjFUbDFvbm8[/img]

If you notice, in the Western Conference all 4 games with 5 teams are losses.
These teams are : Warriors, Clippers, Spurs, OKC & Portland
Those are 20 losses. I think we can steal 4 games of those 20.

If you notice, in the Eastern Conference all 2 games with 5 teams are losses.
These teams are : Cavs, Pacers, Raptors, Celtics & Bulls
Those are 10 losses. I think we can steal 2 games of those 10.`

That will take us to 35 wins. I think this is a fair assessment.


I don't know what WC teams we're playing 4 times outside of our division. I think some WC teams we play 3 and some we play 4 (outside our division). But good work.
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Inspector Gadget
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PostPosted: Tue Aug 02, 2016 7:18 pm    Post subject:

LakerFan1977 wrote:
The team is going to win at least 30, but with some lucky wins and overall solid wins based on growth later in the season as a team there should be a good chance we can win around 39-41


I like the positive vibe brother.

Good post.

I would be thrilled if we end up doing what you said, even if we miss the playoffs by a beet, it would bring for a exciting summer to look forward to.
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lakersboy
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PostPosted: Wed Aug 03, 2016 4:31 am    Post subject:

Yes, because people don't realize what they've got in Zubac. He's no average rookie, he's a game changer.
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lakerican
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PostPosted: Wed Aug 03, 2016 11:31 am    Post subject:

kikanga wrote:
lakerican wrote:
i had made an analysis of win & losses and tabulate the data.

[img]https://drive.google.com/open?id=0BwpLeDsznU0aUU1HdjFUbDFvbm8[/img]

If you notice, in the Western Conference all 4 games with 5 teams are losses.
These teams are : Warriors, Clippers, Spurs, OKC & Portland
Those are 20 losses. I think we can steal 4 games of those 20.

If you notice, in the Eastern Conference all 2 games with 5 teams are losses.
These teams are : Cavs, Pacers, Raptors, Celtics & Bulls
Those are 10 losses. I think we can steal 2 games of those 10.`

That will take us to 35 wins. I think this is a fair assessment.


I don't know what WC teams we're playing 4 times outside of our division. I think some WC teams we play 3 and some we play 4 (outside our division). But good work.


Ok. We play 4 games with the other 4 teams in the Pacific Division. We got 16 games. Of the 10 team sof the SW & NW division, we played 4 games with 6 teams. We got 24 games. The rest 4 teams, we play 3 games . We got 12 more games. That is 16, 24 & 12 games giving 52 games for the Western Conference and 30 games with the Eastern Conference.

Using the NBA "basketball reasons" schedule algorithm,
I choose what I thought was the 6 best teams from the SW & NW putting us playing them 4 times and the 4 worst teams, 3 times.


Last edited by lakerican on Thu Aug 04, 2016 4:19 am; edited 1 time in total
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yinoma2001
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PostPosted: Wed Aug 03, 2016 11:36 am    Post subject:

What I'm hoping is for at least 4-5 "we beat the Warriors in 2016" games where the team parties and is too hungover for the Sunday game at Staples Center.

Teams are already sleeping on the Lakers and those games are ripe for the taking.
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kikanga
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PostPosted: Wed Aug 03, 2016 3:10 pm    Post subject:

lakerican wrote:
kikanga wrote:
lakerican wrote:
i had made an analysis of win & losses and tabulate the data.

[img]https://drive.google.com/open?id=0BwpLeDsznU0aUU1HdjFUbDFvbm8[/img]

If you notice, in the Western Conference all 4 games with 5 teams are losses.
These teams are : Warriors, Clippers, Spurs, OKC & Portland
Those are 20 losses. I think we can steal 4 games of those 20.

If you notice, in the Eastern Conference all 2 games with 5 teams are losses.
These teams are : Cavs, Pacers, Raptors, Celtics & Bulls
Those are 10 losses. I think we can steal 2 games of those 10.`

That will take us to 35 wins. I think this is a fair assessment.


I don't know what WC teams we're playing 4 times outside of our division. I think some WC teams we play 3 and some we play 4 (outside our division). But good work.


Ok. We play 4 games with the other 4 teams in the Pacific Division. We got 16 games. Of the 10 team sof the SW & NW division, we played 4 games with 6 teams. We got 24 games. The rest 4 teams, we play 3 games . We got 12 more games. That is 16, 24 & 12 games giving 82 games for the Western Conference and 30 games with the Eastern Conference.

Using the NBA "basketball reasons" schedule algorithm,
I choose what I thought was the 6 best teams from the SW & NW putting us playing them 4 times and the 4 worst teams, 3 times.
good job man! I'm glad u factored in the league's negative bias towards us in your calculations
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