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| How many? |
| 20 or less |
|
3% |
[ 3 ] |
| 20-30 |
|
8% |
[ 8 ] |
| 30-40 |
|
25% |
[ 25 ] |
| 40-45 |
|
21% |
[ 21 ] |
| 45-50 |
|
24% |
[ 24 ] |
| 50-55 |
|
10% |
[ 10 ] |
| 55-60 |
|
2% |
[ 2 ] |
| 60+ |
|
7% |
[ 7 ] |
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| Total Votes : 100 |
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| Author |
Message |
Sccit
Starting Rotation
Joined: 06 May 2008
Posts: 886
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 Posted: Wed Aug 06, 2014 4:29 pm Post subject: Re: How Many Wins Are You Predicting With This Roster? |
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| Bard207 wrote: | | Sccit wrote: | | Bard207 wrote: | | Sccit wrote: |
How many?
20 or less
20-30
30-40
40-45
45-50
50-55
55-60
60+
|
I have stared at the choices given in this Poll multiple times and still don't understand how those breakpoints - separations were chosen.
I think of myself as a savvy person, but I am truly stumped with this Poll. |
it's okay. ((EDIT. BE NICE - JMK)) |
Here is the set of numbers that represents the possible
total number of wins for the season which would range from 0 - 82:
(0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10
11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20
21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30
31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37, 38, 39, 40
41, 42, 43, 44, 45, 46, 47, 48, 49, 50
51, 52, 53, 54, 55, 56, 57, 58, 59, 60
61, 62, 63, 64, 65, 66, 67, 68, 69, 70
71, 72, 73, 74, 75, 76, 77, 78, 79, 80
81, 82)
Here are the choices that you offered in the Poll:
20 or less
20-30
30-40
40-45
45-50
50-55
55-60
60+
The above labeled as choices A - H. The same labels will be used
for the accompanying subsets of numbers.
A - 20 or less
B - 20-30
C - 30-40
D - 40-45
E - 45-50
F - 50-55
G - 55-60
H - 60+
The following are the subsets of the 0 - 82 range of possible
wins demarcated by the numbers used in your Poll:
A (0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10
11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20)
B (20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30)
c.(30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37, 38, 39, 40)
D.(40, 41, 42, 43, 44, 45)
E.(45, 46, 47, 48, 49, 50)
F.(50, 51, 52, 53, 54, 55)
G.(55, 56, 57, 58, 59, 60)
H.(60, 61, 62, 63, 64, 65, 66, 67, 68, 69,
70, 71, 72, 73, 74, 75, 76, 77, 78, 79,
80, 81, 82
Check the above subsets to see if there were any omissions in the 0 - 82 range.
It appears to be acceptable.
Check the above subsets for repetitions - duplicates in the 0 - 82 range.
There are a fair amount of errors found upon doing this check.
20 is in both subset A and subset B.
30 is in both subset B and subset C.
40 is in both subset C and subset D.
45 is in both subset D and subset E.
50 is in both subset E and subset F.
55 is in both subset F and subset G.
60 is in both subset G and subset H.
To have eliminated the above errors, the choices in your Poll
needed to have looked something similar to this:
A - 20 or less
B - 21-30
C - 31-40
D - 41-45
E - 46-50
F - 51-55
G - 56-60
H - 61 or more
Which gives the following subsets for the 0 - 82 range.
A (0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10
11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20)
B (21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30)
c.(31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37, 38, 39, 40)
D.(41, 42, 43, 44, 45)
E.(46, 47, 48, 49, 50)
F.(51, 52, 53, 54, 55)
G.(56, 57, 58, 59, 60)
H.(61, 62, 63, 64, 65, 66, 67, 68, 69,
70, 71, 72, 73, 74, 75, 76, 77, 78, 79,
80, 81, 82) |
Please stop whatever it is you're doing |
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Sccit
Starting Rotation
Joined: 06 May 2008
Posts: 886
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| Posted: Wed Aug 06, 2014 4:31 pm Post subject: Re: How Many Wins Are You Predicting With This Roster? |
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| ringfinger wrote: | | JerryMagicKobe wrote: | | Bard207 wrote: | | Sccit wrote: |
How many?
20 or less
20-30
30-40
40-45
45-50
50-55
55-60
60+
|
I have stared at the choices given in this Poll multiple times and still don't understand how those breakpoints - separations were chosen.
I think of myself as a savvy person, but I am truly stumped with this Poll. |
Round numbers are frequently chosen as breakpoints.
Don't overthink it.  |
Well, there's a couple of problems with the poll.
1) If I predict 50 wins, what am I supposed to pick? 45-50? Or 50-55? Should have been 45-49, 50-54 or something like that.
2) Why is there no 35-40 option? I don't think we're going to get 30 wins, but I could see us getting 39. That's one in the same on this poll. I actually had us at the 35-40 ish range, but now I have to commit to 30 as well? Boo. |
The problem here is that I didn't ask for an exact number of wins, but rather a range. So you can't pick 50. Don't be that guy. |
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ringfinger
Retired Number
Joined: 08 Oct 2013
Posts: 29418
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| Posted: Wed Aug 06, 2014 5:05 pm Post subject: Re: How Many Wins Are You Predicting With This Roster? |
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| Sccit wrote: | | ringfinger wrote: | | JerryMagicKobe wrote: | | Bard207 wrote: | | Sccit wrote: |
How many?
20 or less
20-30
30-40
40-45
45-50
50-55
55-60
60+
|
I have stared at the choices given in this Poll multiple times and still don't understand how those breakpoints - separations were chosen.
I think of myself as a savvy person, but I am truly stumped with this Poll. |
Round numbers are frequently chosen as breakpoints.
Don't overthink it. |
Well, there's a couple of problems with the poll.
1) If I predict 50 wins, what am I supposed to pick? 45-50? Or 50-55? Should have been 45-49, 50-54 or something like that.
2) Why is there no 35-40 option? I don't think we're going to get 30 wins, but I could see us getting 39. That's one in the same on this poll. I actually had us at the 35-40 ish range, but now I have to commit to 30 as well? Boo. |
The problem here is that I didn't ask for an exact number of wins, but rather a range. So you can't pick 50. Don't be that guy. |
Actually, you asked "how many wins are you predicting with this roster". The way people will typically answer a poll like that is they pick a number, and then find the available answer among the list of answers.
That aside, one of your ranges is too large. Specifically, the one 30-40. There should be a 35-40 option in there. Why wouldn't all the actual ranges be of the same size? |
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LAKERMIKE2
Star Player
Joined: 26 Oct 2005
Posts: 2080
Location: Jack's Crib
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| Posted: Wed Aug 06, 2014 5:08 pm Post subject: |
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Enough to lose & blow a top 5 pick!!!
_________________
My Laker squad.
Mr. Clutch, Nixon, Eddie, Nick, Magic, Kareem,
Silk, Cooper, AC, Worthy, Horry, Shaq, Kobe.
HC: Riley |
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Sccit
Starting Rotation
Joined: 06 May 2008
Posts: 886
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| Posted: Wed Aug 06, 2014 5:18 pm Post subject: Re: How Many Wins Are You Predicting With This Roster? |
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| ringfinger wrote: | | Sccit wrote: | | ringfinger wrote: | | JerryMagicKobe wrote: | | Bard207 wrote: | | Sccit wrote: |
How many?
20 or less
20-30
30-40
40-45
45-50
50-55
55-60
60+
|
I have stared at the choices given in this Poll multiple times and still don't understand how those breakpoints - separations were chosen.
I think of myself as a savvy person, but I am truly stumped with this Poll. |
Round numbers are frequently chosen as breakpoints.
Don't overthink it. |
Well, there's a couple of problems with the poll.
1) If I predict 50 wins, what am I supposed to pick? 45-50? Or 50-55? Should have been 45-49, 50-54 or something like that.
2) Why is there no 35-40 option? I don't think we're going to get 30 wins, but I could see us getting 39. That's one in the same on this poll. I actually had us at the 35-40 ish range, but now I have to commit to 30 as well? Boo. |
The problem here is that I didn't ask for an exact number of wins, but rather a range. So you can't pick 50. Don't be that guy. |
Actually, you asked "how many wins are you predicting with this roster". The way people will typically answer a poll like that is they pick a number, and then find the available answer among the list of answers.
That aside, one of your ranges is too large. Specifically, the one 30-40. There should be a 35-40 option in there. Why wouldn't all the actual ranges be of the same size? |
Under 20 is beyond terrible, 20-30 is high lottery pick, 30-40 is out of the playoffs, 40-45 is borderline playoff team, 45-50 low-to-mid seed playoff team, 50-55 strong playoff team, 55-60 top seeded playoff team, 60+ exceptional... It's not rocket science, quit overthinking things, son. |
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JerryMagicKobe
Moderator
Joined: 28 Jul 2005
Posts: 15100
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| Posted: Wed Aug 06, 2014 5:30 pm Post subject: Re: How Many Wins Are You Predicting With This Roster? |
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| ringfinger wrote: | | JerryMagicKobe wrote: | | Bard207 wrote: | | Sccit wrote: |
How many?
20 or less
20-30
30-40
40-45
45-50
50-55
55-60
60+
|
I have stared at the choices given in this Poll multiple times and still don't understand how those breakpoints - separations were chosen.
I think of myself as a savvy person, but I am truly stumped with this Poll. |
Round numbers are frequently chosen as breakpoints.
Don't overthink it. |
Well, there's a couple of problems with the poll.
1) If I predict 50 wins, what am I supposed to pick? 45-50? Or 50-55? Should have been 45-49, 50-54 or something like that.
2) Why is there no 35-40 option? I don't think we're going to get 30 wins, but I could see us getting 39. That's one in the same on this poll. I actually had us at the 35-40 ish range, but now I have to commit to 30 as well? Boo. |
1. Pick whichever one give you the hedge that you want.
2. Who cares? |
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JerryMagicKobe
Moderator
Joined: 28 Jul 2005
Posts: 15100
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| Posted: Wed Aug 06, 2014 5:42 pm Post subject: Re: How Many Wins Are You Predicting With This Roster? |
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| Bard207 wrote: | Here is the set of numbers that represents the possible
total number of wins for the season which would range from 0 - 82:
(0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10
11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20
21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30
31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37, 38, 39, 40
41, 42, 43, 44, 45, 46, 47, 48, 49, 50
51, 52, 53, 54, 55, 56, 57, 58, 59, 60
61, 62, 63, 64, 65, 66, 67, 68, 69, 70
71, 72, 73, 74, 75, 76, 77, 78, 79, 80
81, 82)
Here are the choices that you offered in the Poll:
20 or less
20-30
30-40
40-45
45-50
50-55
55-60
60+
The above labeled as choices A - H. The same labels will be used
for the accompanying subsets of numbers.
A - 20 or less
B - 20-30
C - 30-40
D - 40-45
E - 45-50
F - 50-55
G - 55-60
H - 60+
The following are the subsets of the 0 - 82 range of possible
wins demarcated by the numbers used in your Poll:
A (0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10
11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20)
B (20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30)
c.(30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37, 38, 39, 40)
D.(40, 41, 42, 43, 44, 45)
E.(45, 46, 47, 48, 49, 50)
F.(50, 51, 52, 53, 54, 55)
G.(55, 56, 57, 58, 59, 60)
H.(60, 61, 62, 63, 64, 65, 66, 67, 68, 69,
70, 71, 72, 73, 74, 75, 76, 77, 78, 79,
80, 81, 82
Check the above subsets to see if there were any omissions in the 0 - 82 range.
It appears to be acceptable.
Check the above subsets for repetitions - duplicates in the 0 - 82 range.
There are a fair amount of errors found upon doing this check.
20 is in both subset A and subset B.
30 is in both subset B and subset C.
40 is in both subset C and subset D.
45 is in both subset D and subset E.
50 is in both subset E and subset F.
55 is in both subset F and subset G.
60 is in both subset G and subset H.
To have eliminated the above errors, the choices in your Poll
needed to have looked something similar to this:
A - 20 or less
B - 21-30
C - 31-40
D - 41-45
E - 46-50
F - 51-55
G - 56-60
H - 61 or more
Which gives the following subsets for the 0 - 82 range.
A (0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10
11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20)
B (21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30)
c.(31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37, 38, 39, 40)
D.(41, 42, 43, 44, 45)
E.(46, 47, 48, 49, 50)
F.(51, 52, 53, 54, 55)
G.(56, 57, 58, 59, 60)
H.(61, 62, 63, 64, 65, 66, 67, 68, 69,
70, 71, 72, 73, 74, 75, 76, 77, 78, 79,
80, 81, 82) |
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