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We got HERE because of |
Luck |
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39% |
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Astute planning |
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5% |
[ 5 ] |
A little of both, thanks Dr. Buss |
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54% |
[ 46 ] |
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Total Votes : 84 |
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yinoma2001 Retired Number
Joined: 19 Jun 2010 Posts: 119487
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Posted: Wed May 27, 2015 10:07 am Post subject: How Did We Get Here: Luck, Astute Planning, or a Little Bit of Both? |
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We should all be happy about the fact that during our worst 2 seasons, we may emerge with Okafor/Towns, Randle, Clarkson, and a boatload of cap space heading into 2016. The worst may behind us. But a simple question, was this good fortune or the result of astute planning by the FO?
2013-14: I believe were trying to make the playoffs, but Kobe was unable to return from his injury from the season before. Pau was retained, and we ended up with Randle/Clarkson.
2014-15: I believe the Lakers were trying to form a team to make the playoffs, as demonstrated by the team’s pursuit of Melo. Yet, interestingly enough, the minute that Melo declined and re-signed with the Knicks, we overpaid for Hill, re-signed Young, and traded for Lin/1st.
Put simply, if things went the way the FO initially intended in 2013 and 2014, where would we be? Kobe/Melo/Pau (likely no Randle if we won more games in 2013) was probably what the FO hoped the team would look like to start 2014. Maybe that competes for a playoff spot, but certainly not a contender.
So which is it?
Luck?
Astute planning?
Or was it a “luck is the residue of design” moment? _________________ From 2-10 to the Western Conference Finals
Last edited by yinoma2001 on Wed May 27, 2015 10:19 am; edited 1 time in total |
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GoldenThroat Moderator
Joined: 25 Jul 2005 Posts: 37474
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Posted: Wed May 27, 2015 10:12 am Post subject: |
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Luck. |
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K0BEE 2.0 Franchise Player
Joined: 17 May 2013 Posts: 10949 Location: I wish I knew
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Posted: Wed May 27, 2015 10:12 am Post subject: |
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I would say the Lakers created a roster bad enough to warrant there current position.. The lakers could have easily collected veteran stars on bad Ks but elected to maintain flexibility the Lakers have been in full transition period for the last 2 and a half years... I think we all know the FO is ready to break through. |
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22 Franchise Player
Joined: 05 Apr 2013 Posts: 17063
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Posted: Wed May 27, 2015 10:13 am Post subject: |
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Is miracle an option?
Seriously we are blessed to be in this position. A lot of the moves we tried to do (or at least are rumored to have tried) could have screwed it up.
But I also give the FO a lot of credit for being patient too. So I voted both |
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yinoma2001 Retired Number
Joined: 19 Jun 2010 Posts: 119487
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Posted: Wed May 27, 2015 10:14 am Post subject: |
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GoldenThroat wrote: | Luck. |
I think 2014 off-season is the ultimate Rorschach test for all sides.
1. Luck: thankfully we didn't get a Melo who just started crumbling.
2. Planning: Plan D was executed immediately after Melo re-signed with Knicks. Lakers had a plan to do placeholders.
3. Both: see above. _________________ From 2-10 to the Western Conference Finals |
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yinoma2001 Retired Number
Joined: 19 Jun 2010 Posts: 119487
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Posted: Wed May 27, 2015 10:15 am Post subject: |
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It was like the invisible hands of Mikan/Wilt that thwarted our plans to go after Melo it seems.
Unfortunately they couldn't swat the Extension. _________________ From 2-10 to the Western Conference Finals |
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City_Dawg Retired Number
Joined: 14 Jul 2006 Posts: 46878 Location: Coming soon and striking at your borders.
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Posted: Wed May 27, 2015 10:16 am Post subject: |
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Luck.
We whiffed on Melo (thank god) , had two straight seasons filled with injury which lead to lottery picks ( the second pick being higher than any of us imagined). _________________ *sighs*
!... |
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dont_be_a_wuss Franchise Player
Joined: 29 Mar 2012 Posts: 21499
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Posted: Wed May 27, 2015 10:23 am Post subject: |
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Luck.
But don't get ahead of yourself, still nothing guaranteed, especially the way our players have been getting injured. |
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yinoma2001 Retired Number
Joined: 19 Jun 2010 Posts: 119487
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Posted: Wed May 27, 2015 10:24 am Post subject: |
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dont_be_a_wuss wrote: | Luck.
But don't get ahead of yourself, still nothing guaranteed, especially the way our players have been getting injured. |
I rebuke this in the name of Jerry West. _________________ From 2-10 to the Western Conference Finals |
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Vancouver Fan Franchise Player
Joined: 17 Apr 2006 Posts: 17740
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Posted: Wed May 27, 2015 10:25 am Post subject: |
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City_Dawg wrote: | Luck.
We whiffed on Melo (thank god) , had two straight seasons filled with injury which lead to lottery picks ( the second pick being higher than any of us imagined). | Pretty much. _________________ Music is my medicine |
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dont_be_a_wuss Franchise Player
Joined: 29 Mar 2012 Posts: 21499
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Posted: Wed May 27, 2015 10:26 am Post subject: |
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yinoma2001 wrote: | GoldenThroat wrote: | Luck. |
I think 2014 off-season is the ultimate Rorschach test for all sides.
1. Luck: thankfully we didn't get a Melo who just started crumbling.
2. Planning: Plan D was executed immediately after Melo re-signed with Knicks. Lakers had a plan to do placeholders.
3. Both: see above. |
Yeah, as for #2, When they gave J Hill $9M, it was pretty hard not to think they were just looking to find place holders. They weren't going for any gambles, but that was mostly due to cap space flexibility. |
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Don Draper Retired Number
Joined: 21 Feb 2008 Posts: 28464 Location: LA --> Bay Area
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Posted: Wed May 27, 2015 10:28 am Post subject: |
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A metric ton of luck mixed with a bit of foresight on the part of Dr. Buss, Mitch, and perhaps even guys like Ryan West. I fully admit to being a Jim/Jeanie hater but I would love nothing more than for them to prove me wrong in the next few years. |
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lakerjoshua Franchise Player
Joined: 28 Nov 2007 Posts: 11277 Location: Bay Area
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Posted: Wed May 27, 2015 10:28 am Post subject: |
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The #2 overall pick. No planning could have made that happen. Pure luck. |
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P.K. Retired Number
Joined: 10 Jul 2003 Posts: 29726
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Posted: Wed May 27, 2015 10:38 am Post subject: |
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every once in a blue moon, abject stupidity and blind luck actually does work out just about as good as intelligent planning _________________ LBJ + AD = More rings
Never argue with a fool - listeners can't tell you apart
Wilt's unstoppable fadeaway: www.youtube.com/watch?v=8O9MgNfcGJA
NPZ's Magic Johnson mix: www.youtube.com/watch?v=q8Qbo0WqvOI |
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misterrunon Star Player
Joined: 19 Jun 2010 Posts: 1904
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Posted: Wed May 27, 2015 10:43 am Post subject: |
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A little bit of both. We did plan on a rebuild - we tried to clear enough cap space to go along with picks available, and it turned out well for us. |
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Aeneas Hunter Retired Number
Joined: 12 Jul 2005 Posts: 31763
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Posted: Wed May 27, 2015 12:37 pm Post subject: |
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lakerjoshua wrote: | The #2 overall pick. No planning could have made that happen. Pure luck. |
True, but we had to put ourselves in the position to get it. We could have blown some additional bucks on FAs to win a few more games, but the front office had the guts to gamble on ping pong balls. It could have turned out badly. That part was luck. But I have to salute the risk taking that got us to this point.
Now we need some more luck. We need whoever we pick to pan out and become a star, and we need Randle and Clarkson to live up to the hype. We don't need a Greg Oden scenario. |
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deal Franchise Player
Joined: 17 Aug 2008 Posts: 14911 Location: Earth
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Posted: Wed May 27, 2015 12:41 pm Post subject: |
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Pure Luck and a total lack of planning... sometimes it's better
to be lucky that good; few times, but it happens... _________________ Lakers need to build a freaking team ! |
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GoldenThroat Moderator
Joined: 25 Jul 2005 Posts: 37474
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Posted: Wed May 27, 2015 1:06 pm Post subject: |
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yinoma2001 wrote: | GoldenThroat wrote: | Luck. |
I think 2014 off-season is the ultimate Rorschach test for all sides.
1. Luck: thankfully we didn't get a Melo who just started crumbling.
2. Planning: Plan D was executed immediately after Melo re-signed with Knicks. Lakers had a plan to do placeholders.
3. Both: see above. |
#2 still means that we tried to give Carmelo Anthony $100M. |
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epak Retired Number
Joined: 30 Aug 2005 Posts: 34147
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Posted: Wed May 27, 2015 1:10 pm Post subject: |
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In this business it's always a little bit of both.
You always try your best, but if you don't have good fortune with you, you don't succeed.
If Magic and Byron don't get injured, the Pistons don't win 2 titles in the late 80s. If Karl doesn't get injured, Pistons don't win in the 2000s. If Bynum doesn't get injured, Boston doesn't beat us in 2008.
Those of you that say it was lack of planning and just luck, wow.
I mean, I get that you're mad at the front office, but c'mon.
Anyways, we can't judge the true outcome until after free agency. |
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Afrosho Starting Rotation
Joined: 04 Mar 2014 Posts: 665
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Posted: Wed May 27, 2015 1:18 pm Post subject: |
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Tanking was not the plan. After missing out on Melo we still signed Lin and Boozer, we tried to be mediocre when we should've been terrible. It turned out well thanks to injuries but we really made some stupid moves last summer. |
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lakerjoshua Franchise Player
Joined: 28 Nov 2007 Posts: 11277 Location: Bay Area
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Posted: Wed May 27, 2015 1:24 pm Post subject: |
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Aeneas Hunter wrote: | lakerjoshua wrote: | The #2 overall pick. No planning could have made that happen. Pure luck. |
True, but we had to put ourselves in the position to get it. We could have blown some additional bucks on FAs to win a few more games, but the front office had the guts to gamble on ping pong balls. It could have turned out badly. That part was luck. But I have to salute the risk taking that got us to this point.
Now we need some more luck. We need whoever we pick to pan out and become a star, and we need Randle and Clarkson to live up to the hype. We don't need a Greg Oden scenario. |
We are also lucky our plans didn't pan out and Melo stayed in NY |
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epak Retired Number
Joined: 30 Aug 2005 Posts: 34147
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Posted: Wed May 27, 2015 1:32 pm Post subject: |
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Afrosho wrote: | Tanking was not the plan. After missing out on Melo we still signed Lin and Boozer, we tried to be mediocre when we should've been terrible. It turned out well thanks to injuries but we really made some stupid moves last summer. |
Besides Young's contract, every other vet we got was a one year deal. How is that stupid? Stupid would be giving big money long term deals to non-stars like Isaiah Thomas or Pau Gasol. |
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panamaniac Franchise Player
Joined: 28 May 2011 Posts: 11239 Location: PTY
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Posted: Wed May 27, 2015 1:52 pm Post subject: |
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We have been incredibly fortunate and anyone who denies that is not being truthful. First, Dwight leaving was a blessing in disguise. Did the FO knowingly plan their pitch so that Dwight would balk? I have no clue. But the fact is he refused the keys to the organization, he did that on his own. The next season Melo did the same. I don't think anyone here would go back and sign those guys as neither is a franchise player. Then there's the Nash trade. Everything that could've gone wrong went wrong. However, two miniscule details saved us. A) the CBA states you can't trade back 2 back picks (thanks Stern ) and B) the picks are protected. The last two years have happened to be our two worst seasons in team history, perfect timing. Had we been a fringe playoff team, we wouldn't be in the position that we're in. I guess some of that is attributed to the organization for not going after middle of the road players, only stars. Yet, I think the luckiest factor of all is that we get to keep our pick. Because we didn't sign either Dwight or Melo, and because we've sucked the past two seasons, we're in the position that we're in. All of a sudden we have assets and cap flexibility. I credit the FO for not pulling any panic trades/signings, however to think that luck had no factor in this is disingenuous. |
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exempt Starting Rotation
Joined: 19 May 2015 Posts: 593
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Posted: Wed May 27, 2015 1:53 pm Post subject: |
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Mitch is playing jedi mind tricks on everyone. Everything is going as plan |
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yinoma2001 Retired Number
Joined: 19 Jun 2010 Posts: 119487
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Posted: Wed May 27, 2015 3:17 pm Post subject: |
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Interesting poll results. _________________ From 2-10 to the Western Conference Finals |
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