View previous topic :: View next topic |
Author |
Message |
BigBallerBrand Star Player
Joined: 23 Dec 2008 Posts: 5785 Location: LA
|
Posted: Wed Dec 28, 2016 8:14 pm Post subject: What's the probability that we will make the playoffs? |
|
|
6 games back in the loss column. Still possible? _________________ Billions Billions Billions |
|
Back to top |
|
|
yinoma2001 Retired Number
Joined: 19 Jun 2010 Posts: 119487
|
Posted: Wed Dec 28, 2016 8:17 pm Post subject: |
|
|
Not high. Hopeful they get to 32 wins. _________________ From 2-10 to the Western Conference Finals |
|
Back to top |
|
|
Daphanabe Star Player
Joined: 24 Nov 2007 Posts: 2768
|
Posted: Wed Dec 28, 2016 8:18 pm Post subject: |
|
|
Currently at 1.4% according to BBR. |
|
Back to top |
|
|
Jim99187 Franchise Player
Joined: 03 Jan 2014 Posts: 22138
|
Posted: Wed Dec 28, 2016 8:20 pm Post subject: Re: What's the probability that we will make the playoffs? |
|
|
15 wrote: | 6 games back in the loss column. Still possible? |
dont think so. was hoping for DLO breakout year but he has been average. so no idea |
|
Back to top |
|
|
justsomelakerfan Franchise Player
Joined: 16 Jul 2016 Posts: 10939
|
Posted: Wed Dec 28, 2016 8:20 pm Post subject: |
|
|
Not great. But it's actually somewhat within reach unlike the last couple seasons, I guess. Not thinking about it. _________________ Austin Reaves
Tweeter: @sarah_dotbiz |
|
Back to top |
|
|
BigBallerBrand Star Player
Joined: 23 Dec 2008 Posts: 5785 Location: LA
|
Posted: Wed Dec 28, 2016 9:02 pm Post subject: |
|
|
Interesting, i was hoping at least some of you would have said we had a decent shot...I haven't analyzed what our remaining schedule looks like compared to the other teams competing for #8, but i was hoping we had an easier schedule and that our young guys would get better over time _________________ Billions Billions Billions |
|
Back to top |
|
|
unleasHell Franchise Player
Joined: 16 Apr 2001 Posts: 11591 Location: Stay Thirsty my Friends
|
Posted: Wed Dec 28, 2016 9:49 pm Post subject: |
|
|
two words:
ZE - Ro....! _________________ “Always remember... Rumors are carried by haters, spread by fools, and accepted by idiots.” |
|
Back to top |
|
|
ringfinger Retired Number
Joined: 08 Oct 2013 Posts: 29418
|
Posted: Wed Dec 28, 2016 10:30 pm Post subject: |
|
|
I know some folks don't agree with me that many of the young guys are struggling, but for me one saving grace for us is that we are where we are with many guys not hitting their stride.
Should that change for the better, there's a small chance we get in. Of course, that assumes some of the 8th-ish seed teams above don't also get better.
But realistically, our window is all but mathematically closed. Stranger things have happenened. |
|
Back to top |
|
|
Fracture Star Player
Joined: 01 Feb 2005 Posts: 9318 Location: Planet Terror
|
Posted: Wed Dec 28, 2016 10:35 pm Post subject: |
|
|
0.0 |
|
Back to top |
|
|
activeverb Retired Number
Joined: 17 Jun 2006 Posts: 37470
|
Posted: Wed Dec 28, 2016 11:00 pm Post subject: Re: What's the probability that we will make the playoffs? |
|
|
15 wrote: | 6 games back in the loss column. Still possible? |
we'd probably have to play at a .600 clip the rest of the way, which is highly unlikely, especially for a bad defensive team. |
|
Back to top |
|
|
pio2u Retired Number
Joined: 26 Dec 2012 Posts: 54519
|
Posted: Wed Dec 28, 2016 11:26 pm Post subject: |
|
|
Slim & None! |
|
Back to top |
|
|
Omar Little Moderator
Joined: 02 May 2005 Posts: 90299 Location: Formerly Known As 24
|
Posted: Wed Dec 28, 2016 11:50 pm Post subject: Re: What's the probability that we will make the playoffs? |
|
|
activeverb wrote: | 15 wrote: | 6 games back in the loss column. Still possible? |
we'd probably have to play at a .600 clip the rest of the way, which is highly unlikely, especially for a bad defensive team. |
Not sure what you base that on, unless you expect the teams ahead of us are going to win at a much higher level going forward than they have thus far. If they win at current pace, LA would need to win just over half its remaining games to catch them. _________________ “We must always take sides. Neutrality helps the oppressor, never the victim. Silence encourages the tormentor, never the tormented.” ― Elie Wiesel |
|
Back to top |
|
|
Omar Little Moderator
Joined: 02 May 2005 Posts: 90299 Location: Formerly Known As 24
|
Posted: Wed Dec 28, 2016 11:52 pm Post subject: |
|
|
The Lakers were ahead of all those teams a month ago before injuries combined with a brutal schedule and road trip. The odds are that LA is going to improve and that Denver and Portland and Sacramento aren't making some big sustained run. One might, but LA is in the race if they can get back to playing pretty injury ball. _________________ “We must always take sides. Neutrality helps the oppressor, never the victim. Silence encourages the tormentor, never the tormented.” ― Elie Wiesel |
|
Back to top |
|
|
Chronicle Retired Number
Joined: 21 Jul 2012 Posts: 31930 Location: Manhattan
|
Posted: Thu Dec 29, 2016 12:35 am Post subject: |
|
|
50%
they either make it or they don't
GO LAKERS _________________ Kobe |
|
Back to top |
|
|
Andre2K Franchise Player
Joined: 28 Oct 2004 Posts: 12199
|
Posted: Thu Dec 29, 2016 12:37 am Post subject: |
|
|
I honestly don't see the point of pushing for the playoffs anymore, hope Luke focuses on player development going forward _________________ My Dream Starting 5 next Season
Pg Lonzo
Sg Kawhi
Sf Ingram
Pf Lebron
C Dedmon
Bench: Caruso, Hart, Bullock, Kuzma, McGee etc |
|
Back to top |
|
|
defense Retired Number
Joined: 12 Jan 2010 Posts: 39322
|
Posted: Thu Dec 29, 2016 3:31 am Post subject: |
|
|
With the worst defense in the league and all these injuries
I would say .0001 just because anything is possible |
|
Back to top |
|
|
Dr. Funkbot Star Player
Joined: 24 Sep 2001 Posts: 8188 Location: Eagle Rock
|
Posted: Thu Dec 29, 2016 8:18 am Post subject: |
|
|
The team has a much easier schedule from here out. We have been through a brutal stretch. I'd say there is a decent (33%) chance we catch lightning in a bottle and finish with the 8'th seed. _________________ R.I.P. Doc Buss |
|
Back to top |
|
|
adkindo Retired Number
Joined: 16 Jun 2005 Posts: 40345 Location: Dirty South
|
Posted: Thu Dec 29, 2016 8:35 am Post subject: |
|
|
I want to be fighting for the 8th seed or the #1 Draft Pick. Winning 30 games and having the 8th worst record is pointless IMO.....that being said, it appears to me that is the exact path that we are on this year.
Getting the 8th seed probably only allows 4-5 games in the playoffs, but it would be worth it for the young guys and the organization overall. That likely requires us to be looking to add a piece at the trade deadline, and probably not provide as much attention to the development of Ingram.
Seeking the bottom gives us the optimal chance at adding a top tier draft pick that may become "the guy" for the next two decades. It also allows the team to ensure Russell gets his knee healthy, and tons of attention of developing Ingram and Zubac. Finally, it would allow the team to seek young talent or assets through trades.
Staying on the current course, and winning around 30 games likely does little except set us up to win 37 games next year. |
|
Back to top |
|
|
danzag Franchise Player
Joined: 28 Apr 2013 Posts: 22244 Location: Brazil
|
Posted: Thu Dec 29, 2016 8:43 am Post subject: |
|
|
Our schedule gets a little easier from now on, never say never.
Seems like the 8th seed on the Western Conference will have a below .500 record this year, so we have a chance (currently Sacramento with 14-18).
We're 3.5 games behind them. LET'S GO LAKERS! |
|
Back to top |
|
|
Four Decade Bandwagon Star Player
Joined: 18 Jul 2014 Posts: 8127
|
Posted: Thu Dec 29, 2016 8:58 am Post subject: |
|
|
Daphanabe wrote: | Currently at 1.4% according to BBR. |
Or approximately the same odds of keeping the top 3 pick....
Not likely they make the Playoffs. They have dug themselves too big a hole and too many teams are in their way to get back to even a weak 8th seed position.
Lakers would need to play at a .500 pace the rest of the way to even get to 36 wins. Do you see them doing that? Even if that win total would cut it.
I'll still be rooting for every win. Maybe they can defy the odds and start putting together some wins over the last 47 games. Stranger things have happened.
Still sticking with my early prediction of 30-35 wins and missing the playoffs by a few games. Still a remarkable accomplishment for a first year HC and young team. Now they just need to make it happen. |
|
Back to top |
|
|
Dr. Funkbot Star Player
Joined: 24 Sep 2001 Posts: 8188 Location: Eagle Rock
|
Posted: Thu Dec 29, 2016 9:01 am Post subject: |
|
|
adkindo wrote: | I want to be fighting for the 8th seed or the #1 Draft Pick. Winning 30 games and having the 8th worst record is pointless IMO.....that being said, it appears to me that is the exact path that we are on this year.
Getting the 8th seed probably only allows 4-5 games in the playoffs, but it would be worth it for the young guys and the organization overall. That likely requires us to be looking to add a piece at the trade deadline, and probably not provide as much attention to the development of Ingram.
Seeking the bottom gives us the optimal chance at adding a top tier draft pick that may become "the guy" for the next two decades. It also allows the team to ensure Russell gets his knee healthy, and tons of attention of developing Ingram and Zubac. Finally, it would allow the team to seek young talent or assets through trades.
Staying on the current course, and winning around 30 games likely does little except set us up to win 37 games next year. |
Outside of Fultz, I don't see that type of player in the 2017 draft. Bunch of guards, no exceptional bigmen. _________________ R.I.P. Doc Buss |
|
Back to top |
|
|
adkindo Retired Number
Joined: 16 Jun 2005 Posts: 40345 Location: Dirty South
|
Posted: Thu Dec 29, 2016 9:06 am Post subject: |
|
|
Dr. Funkbot wrote: | adkindo wrote: | I want to be fighting for the 8th seed or the #1 Draft Pick. Winning 30 games and having the 8th worst record is pointless IMO.....that being said, it appears to me that is the exact path that we are on this year.
Getting the 8th seed probably only allows 4-5 games in the playoffs, but it would be worth it for the young guys and the organization overall. That likely requires us to be looking to add a piece at the trade deadline, and probably not provide as much attention to the development of Ingram.
Seeking the bottom gives us the optimal chance at adding a top tier draft pick that may become "the guy" for the next two decades. It also allows the team to ensure Russell gets his knee healthy, and tons of attention of developing Ingram and Zubac. Finally, it would allow the team to seek young talent or assets through trades.
Staying on the current course, and winning around 30 games likely does little except set us up to win 37 games next year. |
Outside of Fultz, I don't see that type of player in the 2017 draft. Bunch of guards, no exceptional bigmen. |
I would wait until about half way through conference play to make that call....some or at least a couple of these Freshman may break out. I have not even got a chance to watch Dennis Smith or Josh Jackson yet this year...I have seen a little of Tatum and like the gifts/potential. Not super high on Fultz or Ball yet. |
|
Back to top |
|
|
Vancouver Fan Franchise Player
Joined: 17 Apr 2006 Posts: 17740
|
Posted: Thu Dec 29, 2016 9:09 am Post subject: |
|
|
Same probability as the beginning of the season. Slim to none. And slim is slowly creeping out the building. _________________ Music is my medicine |
|
Back to top |
|
|
yinoma2001 Retired Number
Joined: 19 Jun 2010 Posts: 119487
|
Posted: Thu Dec 29, 2016 9:10 am Post subject: |
|
|
adkindo wrote: | I want to be fighting for the 8th seed or the #1 Draft Pick. Winning 30 games and having the 8th worst record is pointless IMO.....that being said, it appears to me that is the exact path that we are on this year.
Getting the 8th seed probably only allows 4-5 games in the playoffs, but it would be worth it for the young guys and the organization overall. That likely requires us to be looking to add a piece at the trade deadline, and probably not provide as much attention to the development of Ingram.
Seeking the bottom gives us the optimal chance at adding a top tier draft pick that may become "the guy" for the next two decades. It also allows the team to ensure Russell gets his knee healthy, and tons of attention of developing Ingram and Zubac. Finally, it would allow the team to seek young talent or assets through trades.
Staying on the current course, and winning around 30 games likely does little except set us up to win 37 games next year. |
Pretty impossible to tow the line between chasing the 8th seed and tanking. That's why some teams make a concerted tank effort sooner than 30 games in. _________________ From 2-10 to the Western Conference Finals |
|
Back to top |
|
|
Laker_Town Retired Number
Joined: 26 Jun 2006 Posts: 25604
|
Posted: Thu Dec 29, 2016 9:11 am Post subject: |
|
|
I think we miss out by a few games. Maybe end up 9-10 overall.
That race for the 8th is packed and if we had shown a little more on the defensive side, I'd feel better about winning some of those close games at the end of the year.(which is my prediction of the race for 8)
Of course, its early and they can start playing defensive ball, but its unlikely. |
|
Back to top |
|
|
|