32 games left, predict record with 19/32 at home

PhillyDoc · Star Player Joined: 12 Nov 2004 Posts: 1034

Not a Lakers fan but Lakers are truly sitting pretty good even at 25 "all" due to fact have home heavy schedule ahead. (Reverse of last year)

Despite some tough losses lately and barring an injury to Kobe see them winning 19-22 of the remaining 32 with any kinid of decent play by the rest of the team.

Go with 20/32 for 45 and 37 should get them into the playoffs but getting to 46 wins would be safer. This would take wining a little over 5 of every 8 games which the Lakers should be able to do at home - again barring major injury.

Right now locks are Spurs, Mavs, Suns, Clippers and one team - probably Denver from that sadly downtrodden divison.

Fight to the finish then between Grizz, Utah, MN, NOK, LAL and potentially Sactown who are improving with Artest. Houston has a brutal schedule and too many losses unless go on a surreal roll beginning right away.

(I am going right now with 6-8 being Memphis, LAL, and in a surprise and a great story NOK. Garnett will be very frustrated again sitting on the outside 2 years in a row.) Sactown is the darkhorse to watch out for to slip into the 8th instead of NOK or MN and would be a scary team with Artest for any first round opponent (but would probably go down in 6 or so).

Finally, the Jazz with Boozer back are deeper and not to be ruled out. Lakers ideally should try to jump to 6 as as being at 7, would avoid playing either the Spurs or Mavs but could face a tough match up against the Suns - getting to the 6th could make them much more probable threats get to the 2nd round - which would be a heck of an accoplishment.

JUST-MING · Retired Number Joined: 23 Jun 2005 Posts: 43983

.500 the rest of the way. They've been really disappointing this month.

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Caron1 · Star Player Joined: 24 Jun 2005 Posts: 2790

I think 44,45,46 wins is realistic. I like your breakdown, although Id love a crack at Dallas in the playoffs.

KobeButler · Franchise Player Joined: 14 Nov 2004 Posts: 10179

we really need to go 19-13 the whole way if we want 44 wins.
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Caron1 · Star Player Joined: 24 Jun 2005 Posts: 2790

Also as strange as it sounds the next 2 games at home against Utah and Atlanta before the break are big. Win those and were 2 over 500 going into the ASB, making two less wins on the other side we need to reach our goal

lakersfan4life69 · Star Player Joined: 21 Nov 2003 Posts: 2327

This team will finish around .500. 44 wins at the most. Could see them winning 36, 37 though. They are really playing poorly.

Caron1 · Star Player Joined: 24 Jun 2005 Posts: 2790

You guys forget Phils teams always get better over time. He'll focus on certain guys to try and work on occasionally (apparently he just had a talk with Kwame and look at last night), eventually bringing the entire level of play up by the end of the season and come playoff time. I expect at least SOMEONE will become a more consistent option, and our defense will be there most nights instead of once a week. Id say 44 wins is very realistic, and Im lookin in the area of 46,47,48

iml84myd8s · Starting Rotation Joined: 06 Aug 2005 Posts: 598

Unfortunately, this roster is a .500 ball club. It may or may not be enough for the 8th seed. Utah is healthy and they’ll be tough now that they’re at full strength. Monday’s game will show if the Lakers can hold off Utah.

This is a young team. If they fall out of the 8th seed, it’ll be interesting to see how they respond. Hopefully, the wheels will not fly off like they did at the end of last season once things got tough.

CrimsonLaker · Star Player Joined: 08 Feb 2006 Posts: 2268

Lionel says we're going to make a trade that will make us better. So I'll say we get 47 wins and the 7th seed. Play Suns in the first round. I rather get the 8th seed and play dallas, but its going to be too close for comfort between SA and Dallas for that first seed.

Drifts · Retired Number Joined: 22 Nov 2004 Posts: 28374

this team is hard to predict right now...we've been losing too many games considered winnable...the next 8 games or so are supposed to be winnable games. We may win then all, but then again we may lose them all...I want to believe we'll win them all, just for the sake of being optimistic. So, the Lakers go 8-0 the next 8 games...with players in question developing some balls to go with some brains.

8)
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"Now, if life is coffee, then the jobs, money & position in society are the cups. They are just tools to hold & contain life, but the quality of life doesn't change. Sometimes, by concentrating only on the cup, we fail to enjoy the coffee in it."

Drifts · Retired Number Joined: 22 Nov 2004 Posts: 28374

LA_Lakers_Rule · Posted: Sun Feb 12, 2006 8:35 am Post subject:

Looking at the remaining schedule blows me away. The Lakers could easily be 10 games above 500 in the end. We should have won the Memphis game, but on record they did have a slightly better record than we did going in. The Lakers are facing 20 teams with the same or worse records from here on out.

Here is possibly the best case scenario (not at all out of the question):
2/13/06 HOME Jazz (25-25 ) WIN
2/15/06 HOME Hawks (15-33 ) WIN
2/21/06 HOME Trail Blazers (17-31 ) WIN
2/23/06 HOME Kings (22-28 ) WIN
2/24/06 AWAY Clippers (30-18 ) LOSS
2/26/06 HOME Celtics (19-31 ) WIN
2/28/06 HOME Magic (19-29 ) WIN
3/01/06 AWAY Trail Blazers (17-31 ) WIN
3/03/06 AWAY Warriors (23-27 ) LOSS
3/04/06 HOME Pistons (41-8 ) LOSS
3/06/06 HOME Spurs (39-10 ) WIN (upset - home game)
3/08/06 AWAY Hornets (14-38 ) WIN
3/10/06 AWAY Spurs (39-10 ) LOSS
3/12/06 HOME Supersonics (30-30 ) WIN
3/14/06 AWAY Kings (22-28 ) WIN
3/15/06 HOME Timberwolves (22-28 ) WIN
3/17/06 AWAY Nets (26-22 ) LOSS
3/19/06 AWAY Cavaliers (29-21 ) WIN (upset - Lebron?)
3/20/06 AWAY Celtics (19-31 ) WIN
3/22/06 HOME Kings (22-28 ) WIN
3/24/06 HOME Bucks (26-23 ) WIN (upset - home game)
3/26/06 HOME Hornets (14-38 ) WIN
3/30/06 HOME Spurs (39-10 ) LOSS (two upsets ? probably not)
3/31/06 AWAY Supersonics (30-30 ) WIN
4/02/06 HOME Rockets (20-30 ) WIN
4/06/06 AWAY Nuggets (27-25 ) WIN (upset)
4/07/06 AWAY Suns (33-17 ) LOSS
4/09/06 HOME Clippers (30-18 ) WIN (upset - home pride)
4/11/06 HOME Warriors (23-27 ) WIN
4/14/06 HOME Trail Blazers (17-31 ) WIN
4/16/06 HOME Suns (33-17 ) WIN (upset - Suns resting)
4/19/06 HOME Hornets (14-38 ) WIN

I have just 5 upset wins (above) according the the oppositions record and the reasons why I think the win is reasonable. It is in the Lakers hands have a record any where from a glittering record of 50-32 and as bad as just 45-37, definitely a post season seeding.

The fact is a 25-7 is absolutely NOT out of the question with just 5 upset wins.

For the rest of the schedule the Lakers have 20 out of 32 HOME games. Not only that, also 20 out of the 32 have records of 500 or less.

If the Lakers just simply win according the the records they would still be 20-12 for the remainder of the season, which would likely put them at no less than 6th seed and possibly 5th seed in the playoffs.

So I think that it is not a stretch by any means to conclude the Lakers will (or should) be some where around 10 games above 500 at the end of the season.

I think I can safely predict a 21-11 record, thus the Lakers finish the season with 46-36, amazingly that would be good enough for a 5th seed in the West.
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Good judgment comes from experience and a lot of that comes from bad judgment. - Will Rogers ...

CrimsonLaker · Star Player Joined: 08 Feb 2006 Posts: 2268

Drifts · Retired Number Joined: 22 Nov 2004 Posts: 28374

great job Rule, but NO not 5th seed and the Clips...6th seed and Denver is better...
_________________
"Now, if life is coffee, then the jobs, money & position in society are the cups. They are just tools to hold & contain life, but the quality of life doesn't change. Sometimes, by concentrating only on the cup, we fail to enjoy the coffee in it."

lakersfan4life69 · Star Player Joined: 21 Nov 2003 Posts: 2327

I love the optimism. A .500 team is going to bust out for a 25-7 finish. I didn't know Kevin Garnett was a Laker all of a sudden.

LA_Lakers_Rule · Posted: Sun Feb 12, 2006 8:47 am Post subject:

Drifts wrote:

LA_Lakers_Rule · Posted: Sun Feb 12, 2006 8:55 am Post subject:

lakersfan4life69 wrote:

twoface723 · Posted: Sun Feb 12, 2006 8:57 am Post subject:

19-13.

BigE32 · Star Player Joined: 25 Jun 2005 Posts: 8518

My prediction at the beginning of the year was 43-39. However, after seeing this team through 50 games, we are no better than a .500 team at best. This team can't win games at the end and their defense is absolutely terrible. This team has not progressed at all, and I think that we will miss out on the playoffs. This team needs to make a trade before the deadline to improve the roster, but I don't think we will unfortunately. I must admit that I'm frustrated with this team at the present time, and I don't have too much trust in the Laker braintrust (I use that term loosely). That's just my opinion.

Lionel The Laker · Star Player Joined: 29 Mar 2004 Posts: 2660

No game is an automatic W with this team. We have alot of home games left but we don't play well at home. Philip teams always get better but this season is more than half way over and this team is still brainless. Mitchell will make a trade which should give this team a shot in the arm.

Drifts · Retired Number Joined: 22 Nov 2004 Posts: 28374

that's a breath of fresh air Lionel...I hope it comes through...about time.
_________________
"Now, if life is coffee, then the jobs, money & position in society are the cups. They are just tools to hold & contain life, but the quality of life doesn't change. Sometimes, by concentrating only on the cup, we fail to enjoy the coffee in it."

LA_Lakers_Rule · Posted: Sun Feb 12, 2006 9:29 am Post subject:

jminges wrote:

LA_Lakers_Rule · Posted: Sun Feb 12, 2006 9:42 am Post subject:

Oops, I just noticed I had 6 upsets instead of 5, maybe a little to optimistic.

So I'll give into all of you "realists" a bit and correct my scenarios to:

"A record any where from a glittering record of 49-33 and as bad as just 44-38... (one less win). But I still say good enough for between 5th or 6th seed as compared to the current records in the West.

Thus I will revise my prediction down one game, but will stand by this:

I (still) think I can (safely) predict a 20-12 record, thus the Lakers finish the season with 45-37, amazingly that would (maybe) be good enough for a 5th seed in the West (admitedly more likely 6th seed or 7th seed for sure).

Of course I'm the one that predicted over 50 wins last year. :roll:

I know... I know... I'll never learn...

_________________
Rule = win titles

Good judgment comes from experience and a lot of that comes from bad judgment. - Will Rogers ...

vvbandit · Posted: Sun Feb 12, 2006 9:46 am Post subject:

16-16, this team is not very good and even if we get into the playoffs its most definately a 1st round exit. I sure hope there is some sort of plan to get talent in here,. IMO if the main goal of this team is to just reach the playoffs (as stated by mitch and co) they should lower ticket prices. Give us a break until 2007 as well

The Kobe Era 2K5 · Starting Rotation Joined: 16 Sep 2004 Posts: 463

I don't know about wins, but I predict 6th spot for Lakers