How Many Points Do the Lakers Score Per Game Next Year?

LakerSanity

So, last year, the Lakers averaged 104.6 PPG (which ranked us at 17th in the league), while 6th in pace (at 100.8 possessions per game). Golden State led the league with 115.9 PPG while 4th in pace (at 102.2 possession per game).

So, it appears that, while, yes, our pace can still be somewhat better, for our PPG to truly go up any significant amount, our offensive efficiency needs to be much improved. We were 24th in the league in offensive efficiency last season.

So, how many points do the Lakers score per game next year? Here's my thought - 108 PPG:

Lopez: 17 PPG
Randle: 17PPG
Ingram: 16PPG
Clarkson: 13PPG
KPC: 12 PPG
Ball: 11 PPG
Nance: 8PPG
Kuzma: 7PPG
Hart: 7PPG
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ringfinger · Retired Number Joined: 08 Oct 2013 Posts: 29418

I think we'll approach 110, but not confident we'll surpass it.

DangeRuss · Star Player Joined: 10 Feb 2016 Posts: 1418

Lopez: 18 ppg
Randle: 18 ppg
Ingram: 17 ppg
KCP: 15 ppg
Ball: 12 ppg
Clarkson: 14 ppg
Nance: 8 ppg
Kuzma: 4 ppg
Hart: 4 ppg

ringfinger · Retired Number Joined: 08 Oct 2013 Posts: 29418

How come you guys excluded Brewer, Zubac, etc?

Don Draper · Posted: Mon Jul 24, 2017 5:17 pm Post subject:

Lopez: 20 ppg
KCP: 18 ppg
Ball: 16 ppg
Ingram: 16 ppg
Randle: 11 ppg
Kuzma: 11 ppg
Clarkson: 9 ppg
Nance: 7 ppg
Hart: 3 ppg

111 ppg

Not as high on Randle as some, think Clarkson will regress a bit. I think the vets will benefit from Ball a lot, so I except good numbers on good efficiency from Lopez and KCP. I expect Ball to be a better scorer than most expect. I foresee Kuzma eating into Randle and Nance's minutes pretty quickly. Hart is a bit of a wildcard, could average more or average 0. Brewer/Zubac and other guys are odd men out in this rough calculation, since both look to be 3rd stringers or worse on this squad.

DangeRuss · Star Player Joined: 10 Feb 2016 Posts: 1418

Our starting lineup could be one of the more balanced in the league scoring wise. Honestly could see a scenario where 5 points seperates our leading scorer from our low score man in the starting lineup.

LakerSanity · Posted: Mon Jul 24, 2017 5:27 pm Post subject:

Aeneas Hunter · Retired Number Joined: 12 Jul 2005 Posts: 31763

That's an intriguing question. I'd expect about a two point increase, say 106.5. I'd expect a pretty big standard deviation, with some 80 point games and some 130 point games.

epak · Retired Number Joined: 30 Aug 2005 Posts: 34147

ringfinger · Retired Number Joined: 08 Oct 2013 Posts: 29418

LakerSanity · Posted: Mon Jul 24, 2017 5:38 pm Post subject:

^Yea, I think he plays backup PG/SG as does Clarkson. That analysis changes if we in fact sign a back up PG that would get minutes in front of either Clarkson or Hart. But, I think Hart could also be that guy who we play in a 3 guard lineup, defending either the PG or SG spot.
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Omar Little · Posted: Mon Jul 24, 2017 5:41 pm Post subject:

Over under should be 108-109
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Practice · Star Player Joined: 14 Apr 2015 Posts: 4551

I expect us to improve, but I'm not sure how efficient our players will be.

ringfinger · Retired Number Joined: 08 Oct 2013 Posts: 29418

LakerSanity · Posted: Mon Jul 24, 2017 6:27 pm Post subject:

I think there are only four players (Randle/Ingram/Lopez/Ball) maybe five (if you include KCP because of his contract) who will be given a lot of rope and guaranteed minutes next season. Everyone else - Kuzma, Hart, Clarkson, Zubac, Brewer, Deng and Nance - will be viewed as role players, measured by the extent they can provide three things: (1) defense, (2) three point shooting and (3) intangibles. I think Hart has those in spades, which is why I think he'll get minutes.

Other players may be able to give you extra scoring/playmaking, but that's not what you'll need or want from them as role players - you will need/want those three things above from everyone else. That's why a guy like Clarkson may be on the outs. Whereas you used to want him to be a main guy, now the Lakers may just want him to be a role player. That means defense, intangibles and 3pt shooting. Thus, if he doesn't improve his 3pt shooting and defense, he may lose his minutes to Hart and whoever we bring in as the backup PG (assuming that person can give you those three elements). The same adjustment is going to have to be made for Kuzma as well, although he'll have more opportunity to fail as a rookie.
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SGVL1 · Starting Rotation Joined: 02 Apr 2014 Posts: 845

124 with LONZO averaging a rookie record 13apg

defense · Retired Number Joined: 12 Jan 2010 Posts: 39544

3.5 new starters yet again makes it so hard to predict these things

I think Brook and KCP will lead the way scoring with the team scoring a few more points per game than last season

LakerSanity · Posted: Mon Jul 24, 2017 9:56 pm Post subject:

If the Lakers end up scoring above 110 per game, that will mean they'll just be crazy fun to watch. I think we'll be more efficient than last year PLUS play at a faster pace, so its possible. If we are more efficient offensively, that by itself will help our defense too.
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LakerDynasty6.0 · Star Player Joined: 12 Jan 2009 Posts: 4660

Looking forward to that compendium poll: How many points per game will the Lakers give up this year?
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FreakofNature · Posted: Mon Jul 24, 2017 11:04 pm Post subject:

Ingram 19
Lopez: 17 ppg
KCP: 17 ppg
Ball: 15 ppg with 10 assists
Randle: 15 ppg
Kuzma: 12 ppg
Clarkson:10 ppg
Nance: 7 ppg
Hart: 3 ppg

115 per game.....

defense · Retired Number Joined: 12 Jan 2010 Posts: 39544

So you all think Deng will cease to exist and Zubac will get zero minutes?

Doc JC · Star Player Joined: 02 May 2012 Posts: 3123

Wouldn't be surprised to see Lopez, Ingram, and KCP all average over 20 per. Lonzo about 14 ppg. The wildcard is likely Randle. I just don't know how many minutes he will get with Kuzma and Nance on the roster. All warrant playing time and should really split minutes to keep them all rested in order to run the court.

110-114 is my guess. Can't imagine them not improving significantly on last season.

LakerSanity · Posted: Tue Jul 25, 2017 6:50 am Post subject:

TooMuchMajicBuss · Posted: Tue Jul 25, 2017 7:36 am Post subject:

Having watched Lonzo in Summer League, I'm pretty optimistic his passing will translate, given targets like KCP, Ingram, Randle in transition, or even Clarkson for that matter. I think the Lakers will be a very high scoring, high pace team, even more so than last year. I think 110 to 115 ppg is a reasonable guess, and that this team will be very fun to watch.

defense · Retired Number Joined: 12 Jan 2010 Posts: 39544

One thing to keep in mind is that summer league team had shooting from top to bottom. Our nba team is probably not going to be a good shooting team. We've got one rookie pg, one pretty good shooting center and three guys who we're below average shooters last season.it doesn't get much better when the bench comes in. Consider that our best three point shooter could turn out to be Ball.