ESPN's BPI Playoff / Championship Odds - Lakers #2

 
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adkindo
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PostPosted: Fri Dec 13, 2019 11:40 am    Post subject: ESPN's BPI Playoff / Championship Odds - Lakers #2

ESPN released their BPI (Basketball Power Index) along with corresponding Playoff and Championship Odds. The good news is we are #2 in Title Odds....the bad news is there is a major gap between #1 & #2.

Quote:
Milwaukee Bucks
- Win/Loss - 67-15
- Playoff Odds - 99.9%
- Title Odds - 57.9%

LA Lakers
- Win/Loss - 62-20
- Playoff Odds - 99.9%
- Title Odds - 16.2%

LA Clippers
- Win/Loss - 58-24
- Playoff Odds - 99.9%
- Title Odds - 10.2%


https://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/page/BPI-Playoff-Odds/espn-nba-basketball-power-index-playoff-odds
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LaLaLakeShow
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PostPosted: Fri Dec 13, 2019 11:58 am    Post subject:

Well, that’s it. It’s over
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Mamba81
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PostPosted: Fri Dec 13, 2019 12:05 pm    Post subject:

LaLaLakeShow wrote:
Well, that’s it. It’s over


yea oh well at least we're goin to the playoffs. maybe we'll win next year

SIKE!!

lakers 2020 champs!!
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Inspector Gadget
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PostPosted: Fri Dec 13, 2019 12:28 pm    Post subject:

Bucks seem to be getting a lot of love, despite the fact that they seem to be playing mediocre teams every single night.. I’m not sold on them yet.
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SPO200
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PostPosted: Fri Dec 13, 2019 12:51 pm    Post subject:

These predictions are bulls**t
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Treble Clef
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PostPosted: Fri Dec 13, 2019 12:51 pm    Post subject:

This will be updated after the Lakers blow them out next week.
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Laker_Dynasty_01
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PostPosted: Fri Dec 13, 2019 1:01 pm    Post subject:

It's more to do with BPI's algorithm(s) not giving any respect to the Eastern Conference.

Basically the Bucks have a bye through the first two rounds, and then an easier Conference Finals, whereas we practically have to win two consecutive coin flips just to make the Finals (according to BPI, anyway).

Fivethirtyeight.com has a more balanced prediction.


Last edited by Laker_Dynasty_01 on Fri Dec 13, 2019 1:02 pm; edited 1 time in total
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drae
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PostPosted: Fri Dec 13, 2019 1:02 pm    Post subject:

Inspector Gadget wrote:
Bucks seem to be getting a lot of love, despite the fact that they seem to be playing mediocre teams every single night.. I’m not sold on them yet.


They were beating down a fully healthy Clippers team by more than 40 That's probably why they're favorites
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ringfinger
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PostPosted: Fri Dec 13, 2019 1:08 pm    Post subject:

Prefer 538’s prediction system better than ESPN.

It correctly predicted Toronto Raptors last year to the surprise of its creators.

The model gets “better” after every game played but as of 12/13 it has...

Bucks - 24%
Clippers - 23%
76ers - 14%
Rockets - 14%
Lakers - 12%
Raptors - 6%
Celtics - 3%
Nuggets - 3%

Everyone else is below 1%.
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Carushow
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PostPosted: Fri Dec 13, 2019 1:09 pm    Post subject:

LOL. Bucks will get swept in the finals by the Lakers, Clippers or Rockets. They can't hang with the premium west-teams and have the worst 2nd option out of all the title-contenders.
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LaLaLakeShow
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PostPosted: Fri Dec 13, 2019 1:11 pm    Post subject:

drae wrote:
Inspector Gadget wrote:
Bucks seem to be getting a lot of love, despite the fact that they seem to be playing mediocre teams every single night.. I’m not sold on them yet.


They were beating down a fully healthy Clippers team by more than 40 That's probably why they're favorites


Yeah, the Bucks are for Real
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ringfinger
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PostPosted: Fri Dec 13, 2019 1:13 pm    Post subject:

Sometimes I wish we were much worse than 21-3.
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ringfinger
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PostPosted: Fri Dec 13, 2019 1:16 pm    Post subject:

Inspector Gadget wrote:
Bucks seem to be getting a lot of love, despite the fact that they seem to be playing mediocre teams every single night.. I’m not sold on them yet.


Yeah. Same with us. Wait until we play a real team!
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Carushow
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PostPosted: Fri Dec 13, 2019 1:17 pm    Post subject:

LaLaLakeShow wrote:
drae wrote:
Inspector Gadget wrote:
Bucks seem to be getting a lot of love, despite the fact that they seem to be playing mediocre teams every single night.. I’m not sold on them yet.


They were beating down a fully healthy Clippers team by more than 40 That's probably why they're favorites


Yeah, the Bucks are for Real


Just doubleteam Giannis and watch them crumble. Even the Mavs would probably beat them with ease if they make it to the Finals. Giannis won't win (bleep) without a real 2nd option, which Middleton clear isn't.
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drae
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PostPosted: Fri Dec 13, 2019 1:17 pm    Post subject:

Carushow wrote:
LOL. Bucks will get swept in the finals by the Lakers, Clippers or Rockets. They can't hang with the premium west-teams and have the worst 2nd option out of all the title-contenders.


Clippers and Rockets have no one to stop Giannis. Bucks will terrorize them all series long.
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drae
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PostPosted: Fri Dec 13, 2019 1:19 pm    Post subject:

Carushow wrote:

Just doubleteam Giannis and watch them crumble. Even the Mavs would probably beat them with ease if they make it to the Finals. Giannis won't win (bleep) without a real 2nd option, which Middleton clear isn't.


Double team? Toronto needed all 5 to wall off the paint and only just managed to win. Double teaming won't cut it
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LaLaLakeShow
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PostPosted: Fri Dec 13, 2019 1:19 pm    Post subject:

Carushow wrote:
LaLaLakeShow wrote:
drae wrote:
Inspector Gadget wrote:
Bucks seem to be getting a lot of love, despite the fact that they seem to be playing mediocre teams every single night.. I’m not sold on them yet.


They were beating down a fully healthy Clippers team by more than 40 That's probably why they're favorites


Yeah, the Bucks are for Real


Just doubleteam Giannis and watch them crumble. Even the Mavs would probably beat them with ease if they make it to the Finals. Giannis won't win (bleep) without a real 2nd option, which Middleton clear isn't.


We shall see
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ringfinger
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PostPosted: Fri Dec 13, 2019 1:24 pm    Post subject:

If you just add hyperbole to every post, it makes things more true. The best, the worst, the fastest, the slowest, crushed, destroyed, easily, impossible, and so on.
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LaLaLakeShow
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PostPosted: Fri Dec 13, 2019 1:37 pm    Post subject:

ringfinger wrote:
If you just add hyperbole to every post, it makes things more true. The best, the worst, the fastest, the slowest, crushed, destroyed, easily, impossible, and so on.


That’s not a half bad idea. I’ll try that from now on
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ringfinger
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PostPosted: Fri Dec 13, 2019 1:38 pm    Post subject:

LaLaLakeShow wrote:
ringfinger wrote:
If you just add hyperbole to every post, it makes things more true. The best, the worst, the fastest, the slowest, crushed, destroyed, easily, impossible, and so on.


That’s not a half bad idea. I’ll try that from now on


Now you’re just being reasonable. It’s not “half bad”.

It is .... cmon now ... the best idea you have ever heard and it sends all other ideas to crumbles.
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LaLaLakeShow
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PostPosted: Fri Dec 13, 2019 1:43 pm    Post subject:

ringfinger wrote:
LaLaLakeShow wrote:
ringfinger wrote:
If you just add hyperbole to every post, it makes things more true. The best, the worst, the fastest, the slowest, crushed, destroyed, easily, impossible, and so on.


That’s not a half bad idea. I’ll try that from now on


Now you’re just being reasonable. It’s not “half bad”.

It is .... cmon now ... the best idea you have ever heard and it sends all other ideas to crumbles.


Lol
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LakerLogic
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PostPosted: Fri Dec 13, 2019 2:36 pm    Post subject:

Giannis has too many weaknesses to be a scary matchup. Can't shoot and can't hit FTs. Someone like Doncic is much more of a threat against us.
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PostPosted: Fri Dec 13, 2019 2:36 pm    Post subject:

SPO200 wrote:
These predictions are bulls**t
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