ESPN Forecast predictions: Lakers with 51 wins
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Inspector Gadget
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PostPosted: Wed Aug 21, 2019 12:49 pm    Post subject: ESPN Forecast predictions: Lakers with 51 wins

https://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id/27426015/nba-preseason-predictions-our-experts-picks-2019-20
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yinoma2001
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PostPosted: Wed Aug 21, 2019 12:54 pm    Post subject:

That's fair.

But all I care about is the playoffs.
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PostPosted: Wed Aug 21, 2019 2:08 pm    Post subject:

Sounds right

+4 possible imo. 51-55 seems like the range with current roster and load management.
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Luminous8
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PostPosted: Wed Aug 21, 2019 2:32 pm    Post subject:

yinoma2001 wrote:
That's fair.

But all I care about is the playoffs.


I just find it hilarious the way all of these experts are counting us out into the latter half of the playoff seeding but yet the Clippers who will more than likely be giving their top two guys quite a bit of rest days as well. I love being counted out.
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PostPosted: Wed Aug 21, 2019 2:38 pm    Post subject:

Luminous8 wrote:
yinoma2001 wrote:
That's fair.

But all I care about is the playoffs.


I just find it hilarious the way all of these experts are counting us out into the latter half of the playoff seeding but yet the Clippers who will more than likely be giving their top two guys quite a bit of rest days as well. I love being counted out.


They were better than us last year and improved more in the offseason.
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ocho
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PostPosted: Wed Aug 21, 2019 3:06 pm    Post subject:

Seems high for once, though iirc the ESPN predictions have been pretty dead on accurate about us the last few years.
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PostPosted: Wed Aug 21, 2019 3:11 pm    Post subject:

Luminous8 wrote:
yinoma2001 wrote:
That's fair.

But all I care about is the playoffs.


I just find it hilarious the way all of these experts are counting us out into the latter half of the playoff seeding but yet the Clippers who will more than likely be giving their top two guys quite a bit of rest days as well. I love being counted out.


Predicting a 3 game margin between the #2 and #5 seed is hardly counting us out. It’s basically saying it’s too close to call.
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PostPosted: Wed Aug 21, 2019 4:14 pm    Post subject:

Pretty good estimate for us.....coming from ESPN!!
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PostPosted: Wed Aug 21, 2019 4:16 pm    Post subject:

55-57 wins is more accurate.
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PostPosted: Wed Aug 21, 2019 5:27 pm    Post subject:

The thing with these statistical projections is that I suppose they don't expect much from guys like Bradley, Caruso, KCP and even Kuzma. So to still have us at around 50 wins is encouraging and if those guys can step up we should be able to overachieve.
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PostPosted: Wed Aug 21, 2019 5:30 pm    Post subject:

I have us at 49 wins, that is in the ballpark.
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PostPosted: Wed Aug 21, 2019 5:51 pm    Post subject:

venturalakersfan wrote:
I have us at 49 wins, that is in the ballpark.


We win 49 games if only AD and LeBron step up and the rest have a bad season, you really think that’s gonna be the likely out-come?
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PostPosted: Wed Aug 21, 2019 6:14 pm    Post subject:

Inspector Gadget wrote:
venturalakersfan wrote:
I have us at 49 wins, that is in the ballpark.


We win 49 games if only AD and LeBron step up and the rest have a bad season, you really think that’s gonna be the likely out-come?


New team. Time to jell. Some mildly concerning injury history. Potential load management issues....49 wins is not crazy. I have us at 53.
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PostPosted: Wed Aug 21, 2019 6:42 pm    Post subject:

manlisten wrote:
The thing with these statistical projections is that I suppose they don't expect much from guys like Bradley, Caruso, KCP and even Kuzma. So to still have us at around 50 wins is encouraging and if those guys can step up we should be able to overachieve.


These are not statistical projections. This is the vote of the panel of pundits.

The stat guy has us at 46.6 wins. That sounds bad, but his model has only three teams winning 50 -- Rockets, Nuggets, and Bucks. He originally had us at about 48 wins or so, but his model lowered our projected win total after the Cousins injury.
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ocho
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PostPosted: Wed Aug 21, 2019 6:52 pm    Post subject:

Aeneas Hunter wrote:
manlisten wrote:
The thing with these statistical projections is that I suppose they don't expect much from guys like Bradley, Caruso, KCP and even Kuzma. So to still have us at around 50 wins is encouraging and if those guys can step up we should be able to overachieve.


These are not statistical projections. This is the vote of the panel of pundits.

The stat guy has us at 46.6 wins. That sounds bad, but his model has only three teams winning 50 -- Rockets, Nuggets, and Bucks. He originally had us at about 48 wins or so, but his model lowered our projected win total after the Cousins injury.


46-47 is about what I'm expecting.
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PostPosted: Wed Aug 21, 2019 6:54 pm    Post subject:

ocho wrote:
Aeneas Hunter wrote:
manlisten wrote:
The thing with these statistical projections is that I suppose they don't expect much from guys like Bradley, Caruso, KCP and even Kuzma. So to still have us at around 50 wins is encouraging and if those guys can step up we should be able to overachieve.


These are not statistical projections. This is the vote of the panel of pundits.

The stat guy has us at 46.6 wins. That sounds bad, but his model has only three teams winning 50 -- Rockets, Nuggets, and Bucks. He originally had us at about 48 wins or so, but his model lowered our projected win total after the Cousins injury.


46-47 is about what I'm expecting.


So we are worse then last year?
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ocho
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PostPosted: Wed Aug 21, 2019 7:03 pm    Post subject:

Inspector Gadget wrote:
ocho wrote:
Aeneas Hunter wrote:
manlisten wrote:
The thing with these statistical projections is that I suppose they don't expect much from guys like Bradley, Caruso, KCP and even Kuzma. So to still have us at around 50 wins is encouraging and if those guys can step up we should be able to overachieve.


These are not statistical projections. This is the vote of the panel of pundits.

The stat guy has us at 46.6 wins. That sounds bad, but his model has only three teams winning 50 -- Rockets, Nuggets, and Bucks. He originally had us at about 48 wins or so, but his model lowered our projected win total after the Cousins injury.


46-47 is about what I'm expecting.


So we are worse then last year?


Math isn't for everyone.
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PostPosted: Wed Aug 21, 2019 7:04 pm    Post subject:

ocho wrote:
Inspector Gadget wrote:
ocho wrote:
Aeneas Hunter wrote:
manlisten wrote:
The thing with these statistical projections is that I suppose they don't expect much from guys like Bradley, Caruso, KCP and even Kuzma. So to still have us at around 50 wins is encouraging and if those guys can step up we should be able to overachieve.


These are not statistical projections. This is the vote of the panel of pundits.

The stat guy has us at 46.6 wins. That sounds bad, but his model has only three teams winning 50 -- Rockets, Nuggets, and Bucks. He originally had us at about 48 wins or so, but his model lowered our projected win total after the Cousins injury.


46-47 is about what I'm expecting.


So we are worse then last year?


Math isn't for everyone.


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Ziggy
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PostPosted: Wed Aug 21, 2019 7:05 pm    Post subject:

Every year, I used to get miffed over the ESPN predictions. But lately they've been amazingly accurate. 51 wins in the west next season would be an accomplishment. There isn't a dominant powerhouse so the wins will be more equally spread out in the conference. All bets are off in the playoffs.
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PostPosted: Wed Aug 21, 2019 7:09 pm    Post subject:

ocho wrote:
Inspector Gadget wrote:
ocho wrote:
Aeneas Hunter wrote:
manlisten wrote:
The thing with these statistical projections is that I suppose they don't expect much from guys like Bradley, Caruso, KCP and even Kuzma. So to still have us at around 50 wins is encouraging and if those guys can step up we should be able to overachieve.


These are not statistical projections. This is the vote of the panel of pundits.

The stat guy has us at 46.6 wins. That sounds bad, but his model has only three teams winning 50 -- Rockets, Nuggets, and Bucks. He originally had us at about 48 wins or so, but his model lowered our projected win total after the Cousins injury.


46-47 is about what I'm expecting.


So we are worse then last year?


Math isn't for everyone.


Grammar too
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PostPosted: Wed Aug 21, 2019 7:13 pm    Post subject:

Inspector Gadget wrote:
ocho wrote:
Aeneas Hunter wrote:
manlisten wrote:
The thing with these statistical projections is that I suppose they don't expect much from guys like Bradley, Caruso, KCP and even Kuzma. So to still have us at around 50 wins is encouraging and if those guys can step up we should be able to overachieve.


These are not statistical projections. This is the vote of the panel of pundits.

The stat guy has us at 46.6 wins. That sounds bad, but his model has only three teams winning 50 -- Rockets, Nuggets, and Bucks. He originally had us at about 48 wins or so, but his model lowered our projected win total after the Cousins injury.


46-47 is about what I'm expecting.


So we are worse then last year?



2018-19

Golden State........57-25
Denver................54-28
Portland...............53-29
Houston...............53-29
Utah....................50-32
OKC....................49-33
San Antonio.........48-34
Clippers...............48-34
Sacramento.........39-43
Lakers.................37-45
Minnesota............36-46
Memphis..............33-49
New Orleans........33-49
Dallas.................33-49
Phoenix...............19-63


It looks to be in the area of 9 - 10 games better than last season.
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PostPosted: Wed Aug 21, 2019 7:17 pm    Post subject:

Bard207 wrote:
Inspector Gadget wrote:
ocho wrote:
Aeneas Hunter wrote:
manlisten wrote:
The thing with these statistical projections is that I suppose they don't expect much from guys like Bradley, Caruso, KCP and even Kuzma. So to still have us at around 50 wins is encouraging and if those guys can step up we should be able to overachieve.


These are not statistical projections. This is the vote of the panel of pundits.

The stat guy has us at 46.6 wins. That sounds bad, but his model has only three teams winning 50 -- Rockets, Nuggets, and Bucks. He originally had us at about 48 wins or so, but his model lowered our projected win total after the Cousins injury.


46-47 is about what I'm expecting.


So we are worse then last year?



2018-19

Golden State........57-25
Denver................54-28
Portland...............53-29
Houston...............53-29
Utah....................50-32
OKC....................49-33
San Antonio.........48-34
Clippers...............48-34
Sacramento.........39-43
Lakers.................37-45
Minnesota............36-46
Memphis..............33-49
New Orleans........33-49
Dallas.................33-49
Phoenix...............19-63


It looks to be in the area of 9 - 10 games better than last season.


GS, Denver, Portland, Houston, Utah, Lakers, Clippers could all finish with 50+ wins. Spurs will be right there as usual. Gonna be a crazy season.
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PostPosted: Thu Aug 22, 2019 1:38 am    Post subject:

yinoma2001 wrote:
That's fair.

But all I care about is the playoffs.

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PostPosted: Thu Aug 22, 2019 4:16 am    Post subject:

53 wins, 4th seed with players getting a lot of rest
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yinoma2001
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PostPosted: Thu Aug 22, 2019 5:19 am    Post subject:

Aeneas Hunter wrote:
manlisten wrote:
The thing with these statistical projections is that I suppose they don't expect much from guys like Bradley, Caruso, KCP and even Kuzma. So to still have us at around 50 wins is encouraging and if those guys can step up we should be able to overachieve.


These are not statistical projections. This is the vote of the panel of pundits.

The stat guy has us at 46.6 wins. That sounds bad, but his model has only three teams winning 50 -- Rockets, Nuggets, and Bucks. He originally had us at about 48 wins or so, but his model lowered our projected win total after the Cousins injury.


Exactly. It's about whether we will be in the ball park with the top teams and by that projection, yes we are.
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