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LongBeachPoly
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PostPosted: Wed Nov 30, 2022 2:53 am    Post subject:

Quote:
Dodgers sign a now healthy and newly slider-heavy Shelby Miller to shore up pen

Shelby Miller hasn’t put together a quality season since Barack Obama was President, so a team with World Series aspirations like the Dodgers seem to be an odd fit on paper. But the converted starter now looks to be the latest project for Mark Prior and the Dodgers staff as he looks to rejuvenate his career and continue the new approach he seemed to find last year on the Giants.

Miller has reportedly signed a 1-year deal worth just $1.5 million guaranteed that will be heavy on the incentives.

Miller was an All-Star at 24, but Tommy John surgery then led to ineffectiveness to the tune of a 7.02 ERA and 5.21 FIP over 202.2 innings split between starting and relieving over the last seven years. However, in recent years he converted to relief full time and has seen better results, particularly last year with the Giants, who seemed to get him on track.

While he “struggled” in the majors in 2022 with a 6.43 ERA, he actually posted a 0.40 FIP and 1.90 xERA thanks to a whopping 46.7% K rate with 14 strikeouts and three walks. That came in just seven innings, but he achieved quality results in the minors as well, with a 2.87 ERA and 69 strikeouts with a solid 21 walks in 53.1 innings.


Quote:
But more than the stats, it was how he achieved this turnaround that was likely more interesting to the Dodgers.

In the past, Miller was a fastball, cutter, and curve pitcher that mixed in an occasional change, and even recently as 2021 was still working with three pitches and 60+% fastballs.

However, in his successful showcase stint with the Giants, he cut his arsenal down to just a fastball and slider, actually throwing the latter (55%) more than the former (45%). With his fastball back in the mid-90s (topping out at 97ish) and a slider being thrown a few ticks harder than ever, he’s also getting more swings and misses than ever.

Small sample, but the stuff grade normalizes quickly and puts him in the upper echelon of sliders with a very good fastball to boot.

Furthermore, the slider has generated 45 minutes of seam-shifted wake, the more of which has proven to improve results against hitters. As a bonus, the spin almost mirrors that of his fastball, which should make it harder to pick up.

Quite frankly, when looking at some of the outings he had last year, it’s curious he didn’t get a longer run.

Granted, it’s hard to ever be too sure with a player who hasn’t produced end product for as long as him, especially with his injuries, but you don’t have to look very hard to see at least a quality middle reliever even as is, much less whatever the Dodgers refine further. Miller now seems healthy and his two-pitch arsenal look absolutely legit, so in a market where relievers are getting silly money and years, he seems like a solid bet to help bolster the pen.

http://dodgersdigest.com/2022/11/29/dodgers-sign-a-now-healthy-and-newly-slider-heavy-shelby-miller-to-shore-up-pen/
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LongBeachPoly
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PostPosted: Wed Nov 30, 2022 2:42 pm    Post subject:

Yankees offer Aaron Judge ~8 yrs $300M

Quote:
The Yankees’ current offer to Aaron Judge would give him the highest annual salary for a position player in the history of baseball.

Judge has an offer “in the neighborhood” of $300 million over eight years to remain in The Bronx, according to ESPN, which added the Yankees could offer more based on what the San Francisco Giants do. The 30-year-old Judge, who was named the 2022 AL MVP after a historic season, met with the Giants last week.
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aprevo15
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PostPosted: Wed Nov 30, 2022 3:33 pm    Post subject:

LongBeachPoly wrote:
Yankees offer Aaron Judge ~8 yrs $300M

Quote:
The Yankees’ current offer to Aaron Judge would give him the highest annual salary for a position player in the history of baseball.

Judge has an offer “in the neighborhood” of $300 million over eight years to remain in The Bronx, according to ESPN, which added the Yankees could offer more based on what the San Francisco Giants do. The 30-year-old Judge, who was named the 2022 AL MVP after a historic season, met with the Giants last week.


No meeting with the Dodgers? Not even a zoom meeting?
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PostPosted: Wed Nov 30, 2022 4:14 pm    Post subject:

aprevo15 wrote:
LongBeachPoly wrote:
Yankees offer Aaron Judge ~8 yrs $300M

Quote:
The Yankees’ current offer to Aaron Judge would give him the highest annual salary for a position player in the history of baseball.

Judge has an offer “in the neighborhood” of $300 million over eight years to remain in The Bronx, according to ESPN, which added the Yankees could offer more based on what the San Francisco Giants do. The 30-year-old Judge, who was named the 2022 AL MVP after a historic season, met with the Giants last week.


No meeting with the Dodgers? Not even a zoom meeting?


No reason for a serious meeting if we weren't going to be offering top dollar.
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MookieBetts50
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PostPosted: Thu Dec 01, 2022 9:54 am    Post subject:

All of this Judge talk is just a smokescreen for Verlander and Bogaerts.

Urias
Verlander
Kershaw
Gonsolin
May

Betts, rf
Freeman, 1b
Bogaerts, ss
Muncy, 3b
Smith, c
Lux, 2b
Vargas, dh
Taylor, lf
Outman, cf


Last edited by MookieBetts50 on Thu Dec 01, 2022 10:14 am; edited 1 time in total
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LongBeachPoly
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PostPosted: Thu Dec 01, 2022 10:10 am    Post subject:

^ if we do get Verlander and Bogaerts, might as well spend some more since we’ll be over $233M.
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LongBeachPoly
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PostPosted: Thu Dec 01, 2022 3:36 pm    Post subject:

Quote:
Doug McKain
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Doc on Miguel Vargas on the Starkville Pod:

"Miguel Vargas is someone who next year is going to play for us a lot. He needs a look, he needs a runway and we're gonna do that for him."


Wonder what position he plays. Sounds like he'll play alot this year. DH/LF?

Honestly, I don't see Justin Turner coming back, not with their plans for Vargas. Justin Turner right now is a DH. No room for both to get significant ABs.

It'll be interesting to see if we put him on the opening day roster or try to manipulate his time to get an extra year.
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LongBeachPoly
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PostPosted: Fri Dec 02, 2022 5:05 am    Post subject:

Quote:
Right-hander Zach Eflin and the Tampa Bay Rays are in agreement on a three-year contract worth $40 million, sources told ESPN's Jeff Passan.

The deal, which is pending a physical, is the largest free-agent contract in Rays history, topping the five-year, $35 million contract that pitcher Wilson Alvarez received before the team's inaugural 1998 season.

Before reaching agreement with Eflin, the Rays were the last remaining team in the majors to never have committed more than $35 million to a free agent, according to ESPN Stats & Information research. There now are two teams left -- the Oakland Athletics and Pittsburgh Pirates -- that have never spent $40 million on a free agent.


This is the dude we traded for 1 yr of Jimmy Rollins
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ChickenStu
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PostPosted: Fri Dec 02, 2022 11:39 am    Post subject:

LongBeachPoly wrote:
Quote:
Right-hander Zach Eflin and the Tampa Bay Rays are in agreement on a three-year contract worth $40 million, sources told ESPN's Jeff Passan.

The deal, which is pending a physical, is the largest free-agent contract in Rays history, topping the five-year, $35 million contract that pitcher Wilson Alvarez received before the team's inaugural 1998 season.

Before reaching agreement with Eflin, the Rays were the last remaining team in the majors to never have committed more than $35 million to a free agent, according to ESPN Stats & Information research. There now are two teams left -- the Oakland Athletics and Pittsburgh Pirates -- that have never spent $40 million on a free agent.


This is the dude we traded for 1 yr of Jimmy Rollins


He's been an adequate starter but never really broken out. Useful though, sure.
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LongBeachPoly
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PostPosted: Fri Dec 02, 2022 12:35 pm    Post subject:

Quote:
Dodgers manager Dave Roberts says the team is comfortable with Gavin Lux at shortstop if Trea Turner departs in free agency.


Quote:
Doug McKain
@DMAC_LA

Dave Roberts on who will play shortstop next year for the Dodgers on the Starkville Pod:

"If it doesn't work with Trea, we have one of our homegrown guys in Gavin Lux who we're probably looking at to fill in at short."

Also said, "I loved having Trea with us".


Looks like we have our answer as to what’s the backup plan should we strike out in free agency.

Quote:
3B - Muncy
SS - Lux
2B - Taylor/Busch/someone else???
1B - Freeman


I heard we’re interested in Kolton Wong for $10M at 2B
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Lamar's Bud
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PostPosted: Fri Dec 02, 2022 1:44 pm    Post subject:

LongBeachPoly wrote:
I heard we’re interested in Kolton Wong for $10M at 2B


And just like that, Wong has been traded to the Mariners.

LINK
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LongBeachPoly
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PostPosted: Fri Dec 02, 2022 2:00 pm    Post subject:

Lamar's Bud wrote:
LongBeachPoly wrote:
I heard we’re interested in Kolton Wong for $10M at 2B


And just like that, Wong has been traded to the Mariners.

LINK


That was fast.
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aprevo15
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PostPosted: Fri Dec 02, 2022 2:20 pm    Post subject:

I'm really hoping one of our young guys will have a rookie year like Bellinger did.
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1995Lakers
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PostPosted: Fri Dec 02, 2022 2:27 pm    Post subject:

aprevo15 wrote:
I'm really hoping one of our young guys will have a rookie year like Bellinger did.


Maybe not a rookie year like Bellinger but I really believe in Vargas. Hopefully his mental is there in the pros because I absolutely love his swing. Good plate discipline too and unlike Bellinger, his swing does not leave a lot of room for holes.
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aprevo15
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PostPosted: Fri Dec 02, 2022 2:34 pm    Post subject:

1995Lakers wrote:
aprevo15 wrote:
I'm really hoping one of our young guys will have a rookie year like Bellinger did.


Maybe not a rookie year like Bellinger but I really believe in Vargas. Hopefully his mental is there in the pros because I absolutely love his swing. Good plate discipline too and unlike Bellinger, his swing does not leave a lot of room for holes.


Yeah. Vargas did start to pick it up later on and looked pretty good.
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LongBeachPoly
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PostPosted: Fri Dec 02, 2022 3:37 pm    Post subject:

Quote:
Giants favored to land Aaron Judge as Vegas odds shift

The Giants, at least according to one sportsbook, are the favorites to sign slugger Aaron Judge.

BetOnline.ag shifted its odds Thursday to make the Giants a -130 favorite to land Judge, unseating the incumbent Yankees. New York’s line, per BetOnline, is set at -110, making the two clubs’ odds a virtual toss-up.

Notably, the Giants and Yankees are the only two teams listed in BetOnline’s prop, signaling that their oddsmakers view the Judge sweepstakes as truly a two-horse race.

That’s consistent with some recent reporting from MLB insiders. MLB Network’s Jon Morosi said Thursday that he’d put the odds “very close to 50-50.”

“If the Giants really step up and get that AAV up closer to $40 million a year, there’s a legitimate chance that Aaron Judge becomes a San Francisco Giant,” Morosi said on MLB Network Hot Stove.


Quote:
AARON JUDGE REMOVES ‘NEW YORK’ FROM INSTAGRAM BIO AS FREE AGENCY HEATS UP AROUND WINTER MEETINGS

One fan noticed that while he previously listed “New York” in his Instagram bio, that no longer appears.
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Lamar's Bud
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PostPosted: Fri Dec 02, 2022 4:28 pm    Post subject:

LongBeachPoly wrote:

Quote:
AARON JUDGE REMOVES ‘NEW YORK’ FROM INSTAGRAM BIO AS FREE AGENCY HEATS UP AROUND WINTER MEETINGS

One fan noticed that while he previously listed “New York” in his Instagram bio, that no longer appears.




It's so funny how "stories" are made from famous people's/athlete's social media pages.

"Does this mean he's signing with the Giants?!"

"Does he not want to go back to the Yankees?!"

I don't know where he's at in his process, but I think the most logical explanation for this "update" is to give him additional leverage with the Yankees to up their offer. They won't give him a better offer if it doesn't at least look like he's ready to move on.
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PostPosted: Fri Dec 02, 2022 5:26 pm    Post subject:

Quote:
Right-hander Jacob deGrom has signed a five-year, $185 million contract with the Texas Rangers, sources tell ESPN. Physical is passed. Deal is done. Includes conditional sixth-year option that would take total deal to $222 million. Full no-trade clause. A massive haul.

https://twitter.com/JeffPassan/status/1598845205763047425?t=3s8TBYGgxAFwyOFUkJbX6Q&s=19
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PostPosted: Fri Dec 02, 2022 5:35 pm    Post subject:

Just an unbelievable deal for deGrom, maybe the riskiest pitcher in all of baseball from an availability standpoint. You have to wonder if this hurts the Dodgers in the chances of signing Verlander, because it's possible that the Mets go the extra mile to offer him something big now.
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PostPosted: Fri Dec 02, 2022 5:51 pm    Post subject:

ChickenStu wrote:
Just an unbelievable deal for deGrom, maybe the riskiest pitcher in all of baseball from an availability standpoint. You have to wonder if this hurts the Dodgers in the chances of signing Verlander, because it's possible that the Mets go the extra mile to offer him something big now.


Yeah Mets were smart enough to figure out that they’re better off paying Verlander 2/80 than giving Degrom 5 years
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LongBeachPoly
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PostPosted: Sat Dec 03, 2022 5:20 am    Post subject:

Quote:
Nevertheless, the Dodgers re-signing Turner is not considered a likely outcome. To this point that’s largely been due to the belief Turner prefers a return to the East Coast.

However, the Dodgers may also have reservations over signing him to a long-term contract, according to Juan Toribio of MLB.com:

Quote:
The Dodgers would also be reluctant to offer Turner an eight-year deal worth over $250 million, which is approximately what the two-time All-Star is expected to receive on the open market.



Wow, not even 8 for $250M.
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ChickenStu
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PostPosted: Sat Dec 03, 2022 7:22 am    Post subject:

LongBeachPoly wrote:
Quote:
Nevertheless, the Dodgers re-signing Turner is not considered a likely outcome. To this point that’s largely been due to the belief Turner prefers a return to the East Coast.

However, the Dodgers may also have reservations over signing him to a long-term contract, according to Juan Toribio of MLB.com:

Quote:
The Dodgers would also be reluctant to offer Turner an eight-year deal worth over $250 million, which is approximately what the two-time All-Star is expected to receive on the open market.



Wow, not even 8 for $250M.


Good. I agree with our assessment, if this is, indeed, the case.
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LongBeachPoly
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PostPosted: Sat Dec 03, 2022 8:40 am    Post subject:

Quote:
Dodgers: James Outman Expected To Be On Opening Opening Day Roster

The Dodgers have holes on their roster, and one of those notable holes is in center field after L.A. non-tendered Cody Bellinger last month. While they haven’t ruled out the possibility of bringing Belli back on a more affordable deal, his departure could open up the door for prospect James Outman.

Outman spent most of 2022 split between Double-A and Triple-A, where he tore the cover off the ball and played great defense. In his brief cup of coffee in Los Angeles, he did about the same thing, going 6-for-13 with three extra-base hits for a 1.409 OPS. On the downside, he struck out all seven times that he didn’t get a hit, and his K rate in the minors was almost identical to Bellinger’s K rate in the big leagues.

Still, he’s likely to get a chance in the big leagues in 2023, according to The Athletic‘s Fabian Ardaya on SportsNetLA’s Access Dodgers on Tuesday.

Quote:
“I think he’s going to be on the big league roster come Opening Day. I think no matter what they do to sort of address center field, what they do to sort of address the rest of the outfield, his ability to play all three different spots is going to sort of land him in a good role for them. He has a good left-handed swing. Obviously he’s had issues with strikeouts in the minor leagues, that’s something that’s going to be part of a learning curve in the big leagues. But he’s shown the power’s there. He’s shown the athleticism. I think he deserves a good extended run at least to start the season. Maybe not playing every single day, maybe in a platoon. But having him around the big league club.”


Outman hit 32 homers in 2022 between the three levels, and his overall OPS in the minors was an outstanding .978. He’s gotten better at the plate every season in the minors, going from organizational depth to a legitimate prospect in the four years since he was drafted.

The Dodgers might not be ready to just hand him the everyday center-field job, but expect him to get some real playing time in 2023.


Yup, all signs point to us going younger. So far, we’ve heard:

1) Lux at SS
2) Vargas - lots of playing time
3) Outman on the opening day roster

The youth movement is real.
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PostPosted: Mon Dec 05, 2022 8:39 am    Post subject:

Robert Murray
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·
58s
Clayton Kershaw’s contract with the Los Angeles Dodgers, per source: one-year, $20 million with a $5 million signing bonus.
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LongBeachPoly
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PostPosted: Mon Dec 05, 2022 8:44 am    Post subject:

ChickenStu wrote:
Robert Murray
@ByRobertMurray
·
58s
Clayton Kershaw’s contract with the Los Angeles Dodgers, per source: one-year, $20 million with a $5 million signing bonus.


So that’s $25M or $5M signing bonus + $15M salary = $20M?
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