Lakers and their WC rivals schedule comparison (Updated for 4/12 games)
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Dennis_D
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PostPosted: Thu Mar 09, 2006 8:46 am    Post subject: Lakers and their WC rivals schedule comparison (Updated for 4/12 games)

Lakers
42-37
3 home games, 0 road games
0 Back-to-backs
Average opponent winning percentage: 0.473
Average opponent last 10 games record: 0.400
Opponents: 1 VG, 0 Good, 1 Average, 0 Bad, 1 VB

Kings
41-38, 1 game behind the Lakers
2 home games, 1 road games
1 Back-to-backs
Average opponent winning percentage: 0.489
Average opponent last 10 games record: 0.567
Opponents: 0 VG, 1 Good, 1 Average, 1 Bad, 0 VB

Jazz
39-39, 2 1/2 games behind the Lakers
1 home games, 3 road games
1 Back-to-backs
Average opponent winning percentage: 0.600
Average opponent last 10 games record: 0.500
Opponents: 2 VG, 0 Good, 1 Average, 1 Bad, 0 VB

Hornets
38-40, 3 1/2 games behind the Lakers
1 home games, 3 road games
1 Back-to-backs
Average opponent winning percentage: 0.553
Average opponent last 10 games record: 0.625
Opponents: 1 VG, 0 Good, 3 Average, 0 Bad, 0 VB

Note: Definition of Opponents:
VG (Very Good) has a winning percentage >= .650
Good has a winning percentage < .650 and >= .550
Average has a winning percentage < .550 and >= .450
Bad has a winning percentage < .450 and >= .350
VB (Very Bad) has a winning percentage < .350


Last edited by Dennis_D on Thu Apr 13, 2006 5:43 am; edited 33 times in total
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LakersMD
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PostPosted: Thu Mar 09, 2006 8:47 am    Post subject:

Thanks for that. Would you mind throwing in the Nuggets remaining schedule too? At 33-28 they are just a game ahead of Memphis.
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vvbandit
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PostPosted: Thu Mar 09, 2006 8:52 am    Post subject:

good post, its going to be very interesting going down the stretch
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RJBaca
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PostPosted: Thu Mar 09, 2006 8:54 am    Post subject:

LakersMD wrote:
Thanks for that. Would you mind throwing in the Nuggets remaining schedule too? At 33-28 they are just a game ahead of Memphis.


And while you're at it, could you fetch me a cup of Joe?
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Raptor2k
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PostPosted: Thu Mar 09, 2006 8:54 am    Post subject:

Let's hope the Grizzlies slack off...
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Dennis_D
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PostPosted: Thu Mar 09, 2006 8:58 am    Post subject:

LakersMD wrote:
Thanks for that. Would you mind throwing in the Nuggets remaining schedule too? At 33-28 they are just a game ahead of Memphis.

Sure.

Nuggets
8 home games, 13 road games
Average opponent winning percentage: 0.494
Class of Opponents
3 very good (>= .650)
2 good (Between .649 and .550)
9 average (Betwen .549 and .450)
4 bad (Between .449 and .350)
3 very bad (< .350)

Memphis definitely has the better schedule. It's hard to rate if it is easier than the Lakers as they have more road games and fewer home games, but play easier opponents.
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numero-ocho
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PostPosted: Thu Mar 09, 2006 9:05 am    Post subject:

LakersMD wrote:
Thanks for that. Would you mind throwing in the Nuggets remaining schedule too? At 33-28 they are just a game ahead of Memphis.


I wasn't even thinking about Denver, but they're only 3 games ahead of Utah in their division race.

They could go from the #3 seed to missing the playoffs if they get careless.

Thanks for the excellent schedule breakdown Dennis_D.
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karlmalonefan
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PostPosted: Thu Mar 09, 2006 9:11 am    Post subject:

Thanks for all the hard work! Much appreciated.
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tgf5
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PostPosted: Thu Mar 09, 2006 9:15 am    Post subject:

We're beating the Spurs Friday because they run and gun with Phoenix tonight! Come on Nash get them legs tired!
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LakersMD
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PostPosted: Thu Mar 09, 2006 9:15 am    Post subject:

Dennis_D wrote:
LakersMD wrote:
Thanks for that. Would you mind throwing in the Nuggets remaining schedule too? At 33-28 they are just a game ahead of Memphis.

Sure.

Nuggets
8 home games, 13 road games
Average opponent winning percentage: 0.494
Class of Opponents
3 very good (>= .650)
2 good (Between .649 and .550)
9 average (Betwen .549 and .450)
4 bad (Between .449 and .350)
3 very bad (< .350)

Memphis definitely has the better schedule. It's hard to rate if it is easier than the Lakers as they have more road games and fewer home games, but play easier opponents.


Thanks Dennis_D.
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karlmalonefan
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PostPosted: Thu Mar 09, 2006 9:17 am    Post subject:

One more thing, what does the Clippers schedule look like? I read in another thread we are only 3 1/2 games back of them. How about adding their schedule? Pretty please?
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raffi
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PostPosted: Thu Mar 09, 2006 9:17 am    Post subject:

Appreciate the effort - the added difficulty in catching Memphis is the fact that they hold the tiebreaker against us.

I would probably add the Clippers and Houston's schedules as well.
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Luke
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PostPosted: Thu Mar 09, 2006 9:17 am    Post subject:

We should consider also back-to-back games, because you can lose more easily those games even if the opponents are not elite on paper.


For instance : do you think it will be easy to beat the Celtics a day after a game at Cleveland ?
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karlmalonefan
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PostPosted: Thu Mar 09, 2006 9:22 am    Post subject:

raffi wrote:
Appreciate the effort - the added difficulty in catching Memphis is the fact that they hold the tiebreaker against us.

I would probably add the Clippers and Houston's schedules as well.
Yep, Houston is right in there, too.
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KobeButler
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PostPosted: Thu Mar 09, 2006 9:29 am    Post subject:

nuggets are gonna win their division. dont worry about them. You forgot to add the Rockets...their coming up fast.
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numero-ocho
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PostPosted: Thu Mar 09, 2006 9:29 am    Post subject:

You may as well throw in the Clippers schedule too. They are, by no means, a lock to hold the 5th spot.

Clippers
10 home games, 13 road games
Average opponent winning percentage: .530
Class of Opponents
5 very good (>= .650)
2 good (Between .649 and .550)
10 average (Betwen .549 and .450)
4 bad (Between .449 and .350)
2 very bad (< .350)
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minervafilms
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PostPosted: Thu Mar 09, 2006 9:40 am    Post subject:

If the Lakers can win 12 of their remaining 20 games, including the remaining ones against Sac and NO/OKC, they'll be assured either the 7 or 8 spot.

The Grizzlies are just too solid of a team to crumble, and their schedule is the easiest by far, so I think they'll pass the Clippers for the 5th seed. Thus for the Lakers to move up to the 6 spot, they will either need to go on an amazing winning streak to end the season, or the Clippers need to fall to pieces in a spectacular fashion. I wouldn't count on either happening.

The Rockets have a tough schedule too, but they're only 3 games back and Yao has been on such a tear that I feel they're right there in the mix as well.

I really think it's going to come down to the last game or two of the season to determine seeds 7-10. A nailbiter and, for a couple of teams, a heartbreaker. Let's hope the Lakers aren't one of them.
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numero-ocho
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PostPosted: Thu Mar 09, 2006 9:42 am    Post subject:

One other thing I want to add about the schedule down the stretch is to look for the intangibles.

For instance, one of our remaining games against a high-quality opponent is our Apr 16th game against Phoenix which is the next to last game of the season. With an 8 game lead over the Clips, the Suns should have the Pacific Division locked up by then. By the same token, either the Spurs or Mavs should have the Western Confernce locked up by then as they have a 4.5 game lead over the Suns.

The Suns will be locked into the #2 seed and may want to rest their key players rather than risk injury before the playoffs in a game which has little meaning to them.

Some teams may be fighting tooth-and-nail down to the last game of the season jockeying for playoff position. Other teams may have little to gain by playing their key players heavy minutes.
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minervafilms
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PostPosted: Thu Mar 09, 2006 9:43 am    Post subject:

Key games to watch out for:

@ Sacramento - next Tuesday
Sacramento - Weds 22 March
NO/OKC - Sun 26 March
Houston - Sun 2 April
Clippers - Sun 9 April
NO/OKC - Weds 19 April
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Dennis_D
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PostPosted: Thu Mar 09, 2006 9:45 am    Post subject:

Added the Clips and the rockets. Added number of back-to-backs
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re4ee
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PostPosted: Thu Mar 09, 2006 9:47 am    Post subject:

All is well... remember none of those other teams have a Kobe Bryant on their roster. The keys to these teams' final seedings are the intangibles, injuries, chemistry, handling the pressure, etc.
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numero-ocho
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PostPosted: Thu Mar 09, 2006 10:13 am    Post subject:

Bump.

Mods,

Can we make this a sticky? It has too much good information to get bumped by the never-ending, "<Player not named Kobe> Sucks!" or "What color were Kobe's shoelaces?" threads.


Last edited by numero-ocho on Thu Mar 09, 2006 10:27 am; edited 1 time in total
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ncaugnit
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PostPosted: Thu Mar 09, 2006 10:16 am    Post subject:

You are a lifesaver with this post. good lookin' out. I concur.... this should be a sticky......and could be updated regularly.
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karlmalonefan
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PostPosted: Thu Mar 09, 2006 10:42 am    Post subject:

Definitely need to sticky this. Great job, Dennis_D! Great info here.
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Dennis_D
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PostPosted: Thu Mar 09, 2006 3:43 pm    Post subject:

Shameless bump. I thought the afternoon crowd would like to see.
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